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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Independiente

09/06/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Central Cordoba SdE
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Independiente
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
CCSIND

Central Cordoba SdE

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.29
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第5位, 相差7位)
-0.08
状态上升 (1 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.06
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
+0.02
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.00
Michael Santos未进大名单 (7球, 2助攻)
Horacio Tijanovich替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)

Independiente

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.36
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.18
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第12位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Gabriel Ávalos未进大名单 (11球, 5助攻)
Maximiliano Gutiérrez未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Lautaro Millán替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Santiago Arias未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅53%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

32%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Independiente are heavily weakened: Only 53% of their usual goal threat is available without Gabriel Ávalos, Maximiliano Gutiérrez, Lautaro Millán, and Santiago Arias
  • Central Cordoba SdE are also depleted: Without Michael Santos and Horacio Tijanovich, only 68% of their standard offensive power is available
  • Offensive form trend: While the hosts score more recently with 1.0 goals per game than their season average, the visitors' attack is struggling at just 0.8 goals
风险因素
  • Weak home attack: Central Cordoba SdE score only 0.65 goals per home game on average
  • Low offensive output: Both teams averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述

Central Cordoba SdE (12th place, 16 points) host Independiente (5th place, 24 points) at the Estadio Alfredo Terrera

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 6, 2026, 10:00 PM

The mathematical model expects a close match with 1.07 home goals and 1.19 away goals, estimating an away win probability of 37%

近期状态

Central Cordoba SdE (WWLLD) show mixed recent form with two wins and two losses

Independiente (LLWDL) are struggling after suffering three defeats in their last five matches

The hosts secured a draw in their last outing, whereas the visitors suffered a loss

统计数据

Central Cordoba SdE score an average of 0.65 goals per game this season and concede 1.22

Independiente are offensively stronger, averaging 1.29 goals while conceding 1.21

Central Cordoba's home record is defined by a stable defense, conceding only 0.71 goals on average at home

历史交锋

In their two previous head-to-head encounters, Independiente won both matches

Both matches ended with a 2-0 victory for the away side

Central Cordoba SdE are still searching for their first goal against this opponent

关键球员

The offensive focus for Central Cordoba SdE is on Diego Barrera with 3 goals this season

Defender Facundo Mansilla stands out with an average rating of 7.05 and one goal in his last five appearances

For Independiente, Santiago Montiel is a key offensive contributor with 3 goals and 3 assists

门将

Alan Aguerre is in goal for the hosts, boasting a strong average rating of 7.21

Rodrigo Rey guards the net for Independiente with an average rating of 6.78

Aguerre has kept 5 clean sheets in home games this season, while Rey has 2 away clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Alfredo Terrera

In the only recorded match at this venue, only one goal was scored

Home advantage is visible in the hosts' solid home defense, conceding just 0.71 goals on average

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