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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Unión Santa Fe - Instituto

09/08/2026, 12:15 AM

3 : 2
预期进球
Unión Santa Fe
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Instituto
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

12%

1:0

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
USFINS

Unión Santa Fe

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.26
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.10
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.10
Julián Palacios未进大名单 (3球, 8助攻)
Lautaro Vargas未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Instituto

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.74倍)
+0.40
最近5场中5场零封
-0.15
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.07
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
-0.04
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

33%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Excellent form of Instituto: The visitors travel with an unbeaten streak of 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw)
  • Offensive trend of the hosts: Unión Santa Fe is currently scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game, higher than their season average of 1.7
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a 40% probability for an away win by Instituto
风险因素
  • Impacted creativity for Unión Santa Fe: Without Julián Palacios and Lautaro Vargas, key assists are missing
  • Injuries for the visitors: Midfielder F. Moyano is sidelined due to a muscle injury
  • Historical match-up: Instituto has never won a match against Unión Santa Fe in past meetings
概述

Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 21 points) host Instituto (9th place, 21 points) at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 8, 2026, 12:15 AM

A tight mid-table clash with both teams level on points

近期状态

Unión Santa Fe enter with a "WLLWW" form, coming off two consecutive wins

Instituto is unbeaten in their last five matches with a "WWWDW" form

Four wins and one draw show the strong recent run of the visitors

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Unión Santa Fe scored an average of 1.52 goals and conceded 1.32 goals this season

At home, they boast a strong defense conceding only 0.75 goals per game

Instituto averages 1.00 goal scored and a strong 0.83 goals conceded per game

The visitors have kept 9 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

Four head-to-head matches overall with two wins for Unión Santa Fe and two draws

Instituto has yet to win against this opponent

The last match ended in a 2-1 home win on March 1, 2026

关键球员

Cristian Tarragona leads with 13 goals and an average rating of 7.19 for the hosts

Lucas Menossi contributed 4 goals in midfield with a rating of 6.96

Alex Luna is the key attacker for the visitors with 6 goals and a rating of 7.04

Not nominated: Julián Palacios (3 goals / 8 assists), Lautaro Vargas (0 goals / 2 assists)

门将

Matías Mansilla is the goalkeeper for the hosts, holding a season rating of 6.9

Marcos Ledesma guards the goal for Instituto with a rating of 6.92

Instituto has registered 9 clean sheets this season compared to Unión Santa Fe's 5

影响因素

Unión Santa Fe has a strong home record conceding only 0.75 goals per game at the Estadio 15 de Abril

The match will be played on grass

Historical matches at this venue average 3.2 goals per game

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