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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús - Defensa y Justicia

09/06/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Lanús
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Defensa y Justicia
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
LANDYJ

Lanús

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.37
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.01
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.00
Dylan Aquino未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
Ramiro Carrera替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Defensa y Justicia

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+0.01
Leandro Fernández替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

47%

否

53%

关键因素
  • Strong home record for Lanús with a stable defense conceding only 0.83 goals per home game on average
  • Defensa y Justicia arrive with strong form including three wins from their last five matches and a LWDWW trend
  • Lanús averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Lanús are severely weakened with Dylan Aquino and Ramiro Carrera missing, leaving only 65% of their usual goal threat active
  • Defensa y Justicia show defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per away match
概述

Lanús host Defensa y Justicia at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 6, 2026, 9:00 PM

Lanús currently sit in 6th place with 24 points

Defensa y Justicia travel as the 11th placed team with 19 points

The mathematical model predicts a 47% probability for a home win

近期状态

Lanús show inconsistent form with a record of LWLDL

Their last match ended in a 0-1 defeat against Boca Juniors

Defensa y Justicia are in strong form with a record of LWDWW

The visitors recently recorded two consecutive wins, including 1-0 against Platense

统计数据

Lanús average 1.04 goals scored and 1.04 goals conceded per game this season

At home, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.83 goals per match

Defensa y Justicia average 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded in away games

历史交锋

Two previous head-to-head matches both ended in draws

The last meeting on March 2, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

The historical goal difference is even at 1-1

关键球员

Carlos Izquierdoz anchors the hosts' defense with a 7.13 rating and has scored 2 goals

Felipe Peña Biafore recently scored 2 goals in 5 matches

For the visitors, Juan Gutiérrez leads with 4 goals and 5 assists this season

门将

Nahuel Losada guards the goal for Lanús and has kept 9 clean sheets

Matías Borgogno features for Defensa y Justicia, securing 6 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Lanús benefit from playing at home on natural grass

Recent matches at this venue averaged 1.6 total goals per game

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