🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Defensa y Justicia - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

09/11/2026, 10:15 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Defensa y Justicia
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
DYJGYEM

Defensa y Justicia

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.35
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.29
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.29
Agustín Módica替补席 (12球, 1助攻)
Tomás O'Connor未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
42%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

31%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

69%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza scores more frequently recently (2.2) compared to their season average (1.2)
  • Defensa y Justicia averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical advantage for the home side with a calculated win probability of 47%
风险因素
  • Away weakness for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game on the road
  • Key offensive players are missing for the visitors with Agustín Módica and Tomás O'Connor
  • The mathematical model predicts a low probability of only 39% for over 2.5 goals
概述

Defensa y Justicia (11th place, 19 points) face Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (10th place, 19 points)

A mid-table clash in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match is scheduled for September 12, 2026, 12:15 AM

Both teams are tied on 19 points

近期状态

Defensa y Justicia show a form of WDWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts secured three wins in their last five matches

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza show a form of LWWWD

The visitors also recorded three wins in their last five games

统计数据

Defensa y Justicia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded this season

At home, they average 1.08 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza average 1.17 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 2.00 goals per game

历史交锋

There has been one head-to-head match between the teams

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza won that match 2-1 at home

The last meeting took place on May 4, 2026

关键球员

Juan Gutiérrez scored 4 goals and provided 5 assists this season with a 6.86 rating

David Barbona contributed 3 goals and shows rising form with a 7.26 rating in recent games

Facundo Lencioni leads the visitors with 4 goals, 7 assists, and a 7.25 average rating

Not nominated for the visitors: Agustín Módica (12 goals) and Tomás O'Connor (2 assists)

门将

Matías Borgogno holds an average rating of 7.04 this season

Cesar Rigamonti features in goal for the visitors with a rating of 7.09

Rigamonti showed strong recent form with a 7.39 rating over the last five matches

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per game

The probability for over 2.5 goals is calculated at only 39%

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。