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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Atlético Tucumán - River Plate

09/12/2026, 08:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Atlético Tucumán
0.7
Total xG
2.1
River Plate
1.4
最可能的比分

0:1

15%

1:1

14%

0:0

14%

0:2

11%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
ATRP

Atlético Tucumán

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.58
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第1位, 相差12位)
-0.10
全员可用

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.54倍)
+0.55
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.17
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第13位, 相差12位)
+0.08
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.05
Aníbal Moreno未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Joaquín Freitas未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.40
-0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

18%

平局

31%

客胜

51%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

49%

客胜或平局

82%

非平局

69%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • River Plate's offensive strength: The visitors averaged 2.0 goals in recent matches, exceeding their season average of 1.4
  • Mathematical advantage for River Plate: The prediction model calculates a 51% probability for an away win
  • Atlético Tucumán plays a counter-oriented style with an average of only 43% possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for weather and duel statistics
  • Extremely low-scoring matches at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro with an average of just 1.0 goals per home game
  • Balanced head-to-head history with 2 wins for each team in the last 4 encounters
概述

Atlético Tucumán (13th place, 13 points) hosts league leaders River Plate (1st place, 29 points) at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 12, 2026, 9:30 PM

The top team enters as clear favorites in this clash

近期状态

Atlético Tucumán shows recent form of LWDDW with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games

River Plate is in strong shape with form LWDWW, including 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 outings

统计数据

Atlético Tucumán averages 0.88 goals scored and 0.96 goals conceded per match

River Plate features a strong offense with 1.39 goals scored and 0.93 conceded on average

At home, Atlético Tucumán has secured 7 clean sheets with a goal record of 9 to 8

历史交锋

The head-to-head history is balanced with 2 wins each for both teams across 4 direct duels

The last encounter on May 3, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Atlético Tucumán

关键球员

Leandro Díaz leads the hosts' attack with 7 goals this season

For the visitors, defender Gonzalo Montiel is highly dangerous with 6 goals scored

Tomás Galván supports the River Plate midfield with 5 goals and 3 assists

Not nominated for River Plate: Aníbal Moreno and Joaquín Freitas

门将

Luis Ingolotti has recorded 11 clean sheets for Atlético Tucumán this season

Santiago Beltrán stands strong for River Plate with 10 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Atlético Tucumán's home advantage is highlighted by their 7 home clean sheets

The Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro averages just 1.0 goals per match over the last 5 home games

The game will be played on grass

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