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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Tigre - Rosario Central

09/13/2026, 05:45 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Tigre
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Rosario Central
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
TIGRC

Tigre

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.10
全员可用

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.37倍)
+0.25
防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.21
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.04
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Giovanni Cantizano替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.39
-0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

30%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Home defensive strength: Tigre concedes an average of only 0.69 goals per game in their own stadium
  • Tactical metrics: Rosario Central averaged 64.4% possession and 5.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical advantage: The model favors Tigre with a 41% probability of a home win
风险因素
  • Low offensive threat: Tigre averaged only 2.0 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Historical draw trend: Both previous head-to-head encounters ended in a tie
  • Dangerous away attack: Rosario Central scores an average of 1.25 goals in away games
概述

Tigre (10th place, 18 points) host Rosario Central (3rd place, 25 points) at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 13, 2026, 5:45 PM

Rosario Central are looking to maintain their push near the top of the standings

Tigre will try to take advantage of playing on home turf

近期状态

Tigre's form across all competitions is WDWDL with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Rosario Central has a matching form of WWDLD with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Both sides head into this game with stable recent performances

Form explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Tigre scores an average of 1.04 goals per game this season while conceding 0.83 goals

At home Tigre's defense is particularly strong, conceding an average of only 0.69 goals

Rosario Central averages 1.25 goals scored per match in away games

The visiting side concedes an average of 1.17 goals when playing on the road

历史交锋

There has been no winner in the 2 historical head-to-head matches between these teams

Both direct encounters ended in a draw

The overall goal tally is completely even at 2-2

Their most recent match on May 3, 2026 ended in a 1-1 scoreline

关键球员

Ignacio Russo has recorded 7 goals and 3 assists this campaign

Alan Barrionuevo stands out with an average season rating of 7.18

Mauro Méndez has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist

Ángel Di María leads with 7 goals and 4 assists this season

Jaminton Campaz is an important factor with 3 goals and 4 assists

Enzo Copetti has registered 5 goals and 1 assist so far

门将

Felipe Zenobio plays in goal for Tigre with an average rating of 6.87

Tigre has kept a total of 8 clean sheets in this campaign

Conan Ledesma guards the net for Rosario Central with a rating of 6.82

Rosario Central has recorded 7 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The game takes place on grass at the Estadio José Dellagiovanna

In the last 5 home games, there was an average of only 1.2 goals scored per match

The BTTS rate at this stadium stands at 40 percent

Tigre's strong defensive home average of 0.69 goals conceded heavily influences the home advantage

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