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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Boca Juniors - Central Cordoba SdE

09/12/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Boca Juniors
2.1
Total xG
2.9
Central Cordoba SdE
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
BJCCS

Boca Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
+1.30
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第12位, 相差10位)
+0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Miguel Merentiel 替补席 (7球, 2助攻)
Santiago Ascacíbar替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Tomás Aranda未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
76%进球产出缺失 (仅38%可用)

Central Cordoba SdE

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.55
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第2位, 相差10位)
-0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.04
Michael Santos未进大名单 (7球, 2助攻)
Horacio Tijanovich替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

66%

平局

22%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

34%

非平局

78%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Severe squad impact for Boca Juniors with only 38% of their usual goal threat available due to the absence of Miguel Merentiel, Santiago Ascacíbar, and Tomás Aranda
  • Higher offensive threat from Boca Juniors who averaged 5.0 shots on target compared to 3.0 for the visitors in recent matches
  • Mathematical advantage for Boca Juniors with a calculated home win probability of 66%
风险因素
  • Weakening of the visitors' attack due to the absence of Michael Santos, leaving only 68% of their goal threat available
  • Defensive vulnerability of Central Cordoba SdE with an average of 2.67 goals conceded per away game
  • Declining efficiency for Boca Juniors, whose goal scoring recently dropped to 1.2 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.4
概述

Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) host Central Cordoba SdE (12th place, 16 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 12, 2026, 12:30 AM

Boca Juniors enter as clear favorites in this home fixture

近期状态

Boca Juniors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches with form DDDWD

They recorded 1 win and 4 draws in their recent fixtures

Central Cordoba SdE show a form of WLLDL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

统计数据

Boca Juniors average 1.32 goals scored and concede only 0.7 goals per home match

Central Cordoba SdE average a meager 0.63 goals and failed to score in 14 matches

On the road Central Cordoba concede an extremely high average of 2.67 goals

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors secured 3 wins and 1 draw

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Boca Juniors on May 2, 2026

The home team clearly dominates the historical record with 11:5 goals

关键球员

Lautaro Blanco (defense, rating 7.06), Tomás Belmonte (1 goal, 1 assist in 3 games), and Sebastián Villa lead Boca Juniors

Diego Barrera (3 goals), Alejandro Maciel (rating 7.06), and Facundo Mansilla are key for the visitors

门将

Leandro Brey starts in goal for Boca Juniors (11 clean sheets this season)

Alan Aguerre guards the net for the visitors with a strong average rating of 7.19 and 8 clean sheets

影响因素

At Estadio Alberto José Armando matches average 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the home games played here alongside Boca's strong home defense

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