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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Deportivo Riestra - Lanús

09/14/2026, 10:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Deportivo Riestra
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Lanús
1.0
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

12%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
DRLAN

Deportivo Riestra

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第6位, 相差9位)
-0.09
状态上升 (1 vs 0.7 赛季平均)
+0.08
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.02
主场表现强势 (场均1球 vs 总体0.7球)

Lanús

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
-0.05
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第15位, 相差9位)
+0.04
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Dylan Aquino未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.40
-0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

36%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

64%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Defensive fortress at home: Riestra conceded an average of only 0.33 goals per home game this season
  • Missing offensive power for Lanús: Dylan Aquino (6 goals, 2 assists this season) is not nominated, leaving only 76% of their goals share active
  • Tactical profile: Riestra averaged only 3.2 shots on target with 31% possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • Harmless home attack: Deportivo Riestra score an average of only 0.56 goals per home match
  • Few offensive actions: Riestra averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 11 points) host Lanús (6th place, 24 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 14, 2026, 11:00 PM

Lanús fight to stay close to the top group while Riestra remain near the bottom of the table

The mathematical analysis predicts a tight contest with a draw probability of 36%

近期状态

Form of Deportivo Riestra: WLDDD

Form of Lanús: WLDLW

Riestra recently recorded three consecutive draws

Lanús comes off a 1-0 win against Defensa y Justicia in their last match

Riestra recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games

Lanús registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches

统计数据

Deportivo Riestra average 0.54 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded per season

Riestra's home record shows only 6 goals conceded in 18 home games

Lanús average 1.04 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded per match

In away matches Lanús concede an average of 1.15 goals while scoring 1.00

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

Deportivo Riestra recorded 3 wins, while Lanús have not won a match yet

One match ended in a draw

The last meeting on May 2, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw

关键球员

Antony Alonso leads Riestra's attack with 4 goals this season

Milton Céliz stands out with an average rating of 6.98

Alexander Díaz has contributed 2 goals so far this season

Carlos Izquierdoz is the highest-rated defender for Lanús at 7.17

Sasha Marcich impresses with a 6.89 rating in 24 appearances

Felipe Peña Biafore has scored 2 goals this season for Lanús

Not nominated for Lanús: Dylan Aquino with 6 goals and 2 assists this season

门将

Ignacio Arce plays in goal for Riestra and holds a strong season rating of 7.18

Nahuel Losada guards the net for Lanús with an average rating of 7.06

Both goalkeepers recorded an average rating of 6.90 over their last 5 appearances

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Guillermo Laza

The stadium statistics show an average of only 2.0 goals per match

There was a BTTS rate of only 20% in Riestra's last 5 home games

Riestra's home defensive strength with only 6 goals conceded in 18 home matches is a key factor

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