🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Instituto - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

09/15/2026, 12:15 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Instituto
1.9
Total xG
2.5
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

16%

1:0

15%

1:1

10%

3:0

10%

0:0

9%
xG 分解
INSEDRC

Instituto

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
+1.16
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.23
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.03
Matías Gallardo未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.73
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.04
状态上升 (0.5 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
+0.03
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.39
-0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

69%

平局

22%

客胜

9%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

91%

客胜或平局

31%

非平局

78%

双方进球

是

38%

否

62%

关键因素
  • Model prediction: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 69%
  • Home and away records: Instituto concedes only 0.64 goals per home game while the visitors allow 2.22 goals away
  • Tactical finishing weakness: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averaged only 2.0 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
  • Massive away weakness of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto with 2.22 goals conceded per away match
  • Very low goal threat from the visitors with only 0.33 away goals scored per game
概述

Instituto (9th place, 21 points) host Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (15th place, 5 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 15, 2026, 12:15 AM

Clear matchup between the mid-table and the bottom of the league

近期状态

Instituto with a form of WWDWL in all competitions

Last match ended in a loss

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto with a form of LLDDL in all competitions

Both teams lost their respective last match

统计数据

Instituto scores an average of 1.04 goals per match and concedes 0.92

Strong home defense with only 0.64 goals conceded per home game

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores only 0.33 goals per away match

The visitors concede an average of 2.22 goals per away game

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far

That single meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Instituto

关键球员

Alex Luna with 6 goals and 3 assists in midfield for Instituto

Giuliano Cerato has already scored 4 goals as a defender for Instituto

Leonel Mosevich solid in defense with a 6.87 rating

门将

Marcos Ledesma starts in goal for Instituto with a rating of 6.80

Lucas Bruera guards the net for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto with a rating of 6.94

Instituto recorded 9 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Strong home defense of Instituto meets the weak away form of the visitors

准备开始了吗？

创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。