Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Sarmiento - Belgrano
09/13/2026, 05:45 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%2:1
8%0:1
8%xG 分解
Sarmiento
Belgrano
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
31%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Offensive trend: Sarmiento currently scores more frequently, averaging 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.2
- Tactical contrast: Sarmiento recently played counter-oriented with an average of 37% possession, while Belgrano was dominant with 57% possession
- Strong home defense: Sarmiento concedes only 0.67 goals per game on average at their own stadium
风险因素
- Solid opponent defense: Belgrano kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches, conceding only 0.75 goals on average
- Squad impact: Belgrano has key players not nominated, including Lucas Passerini, Francisco González Metilli, and Adrián Sánchez
- Historical barrier: Sarmiento has failed to score a single goal against Belgrano in their last 2 meetings
概述
Sarmiento hosts Belgrano at the Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 13, 2026, 5:45 PM
Sarmiento (9th place, 19 points) faces Belgrano (4th place, 24 points)
The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 40% and a draw probability of 31%
近期状态
Sarmiento is in strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss from the last 5 matches
Form string: WWWLW
Belgrano recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently
Form string: WWLDD
Sarmiento enters the match with momentum after a 2-0 win against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
统计数据
Sarmiento scores 1.13 goals on average at home while conceding just 0.67
Belgrano concedes exactly 1.00 goal per away game on average
Sarmiento shows a strong home defense with 7 clean sheets in 15 home matches
历史交锋
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento recorded no wins
Belgrano won the last game clearly with 4-0 on May 3, 2026
Sarmiento is still waiting for their first goal against Belgrano in this matchup
关键球员
Junior Marabel leads Sarmiento with 11 season goals and 4 assists
Julián Mavilla shines in midfield with an average rating of 7.44
For Belgrano, Nicolás Fernández is key in attack with 6 goals and 4 assists
门将
Thyago Ayala guards Sarmiento's goal with a strong rating of 7.27 in 6 games
Thiago Cardozo has played 27 matches for Belgrano, maintaining a rating of 7.06
影响因素
Matches at the Estadio Eva Perón de Junín average 2.6 goals per game
Sarmiento's home advantage is backed by conceding only 10 goals in 15 home matches
The game will be played on natural grass