Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Newell's Old Boys - Vélez Sarsfield
09/11/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.0
1.2
0:0
16%1:1
15%0:1
15%0:2
10%1:0
9%xG 分解
Newell's Old Boys
Vélez Sarsfield
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
34%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
60%
Under 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- Vélez Sarsfield enter as favorites with a calculated 43% win probability according to the mathematical model
- The rock-solid defense of Vélez concedes an average of only 0.79 goals per away match this season
- Newell's Old Boys averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent fixtures
风险因素
- Matías Pellegrini and Dilan Godoy are missing for Vélez, leaving only 65% of the seasonal goal threat active
- Newell's Old Boys exhibit home offensive weakness with an average of just 1.0 home goal scored per game
- Newell's have failed to secure a home victory in head-to-head matches against Vélez over the last two years
概述
Newell's Old Boys host Vélez Sarsfield at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 11, 2026, 10:00 PM
Newell's sit in 14th place with 15 points, while the visitors are in 3rd place with 28 points
An intense clash between the league's top-tier side and the struggling hosts
近期状态
Newell's recent form is "LWWDD" with two wins and two draws from their last five matches
Vélez Sarsfield are unbeaten in their last five outings with a "DDDDW" record
Both teams earned points in their previous match, with Vélez securing a win and Newell's a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Newell's average 1.0 goal scored and 1.42 goals conceded per match this season
Vélez Sarsfield boast a strong defense, conceding only 0.76 goals per game while scoring 1.16
Newell's home games average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded
The visitors concede just 0.79 goals per away match on average
历史交锋
In their last two head-to-head encounters, Vélez Sarsfield won once, with the other match ending in a draw
Their most recent direct duel ended in a 1:1 draw on May 4, 2026
Newell's scored two goals overall in these games compared to one goal for Vélez
关键球员
Matías Cóccaro leads Newell's attack with 6 goals and 2 assists this season
Walter Mazzantti has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists for the hosts
Manuel Lanzini dictates Vélez's midfield and has scored 6 goals so far
门将
Josué Reinatti guards Newell's goal with a strong season average rating of 7.27
Tomás Marchiori is in goal for Vélez, holding a season rating of 7.11
Both keepers have recorded solid performances with multiple clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Home advantage is key, with Newell's scoring 13 goals in 13 home matches this season
The venue statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per match with a 60% both teams to score rate