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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi

09/12/2026, 05:45 PM

4 : 3
预期进球
Independiente Rivadavia
2.2
Total xG
2.8
Aldosivi
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

15%

3:0

11%

1:1

9%

2:1

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
IRALD

Independiente Rivadavia

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.73倍)
+1.47
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.17
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第14位, 相差12位)
+0.13
Matías Fernández替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Alejo Osella替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Sheyko Studer未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Aldosivi

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.73
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.34
状态上升 (1.5 vs 0.7 赛季平均)
+0.23
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.14
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第2位, 相差12位)
-0.08
Alan Sosa未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

74%

平局

19%

客胜

7%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

93%

客胜或平局

26%

非平局

81%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Clear table advantage: Second-placed Independiente Rivadavia faces bottom-placed Aldosivi
  • Home strength vs away weakness: Aldosivi concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away match
  • Independiente Rivadavia averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Aldosivi currently scores more frequently (1.5 goals) than their season average (0.7 goals)
  • Independiente Rivadavia's goal production is currently stalling (1.5) compared to the season average (1.8)
概述

Independiente Rivadavia (2nd place, 28 points) host Aldosivi (14th place, 7 points) at the Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 12, 2026, 6:45 PM

Clear clash between the second-placed team and the second-to-last side

近期状态

Independiente Rivadavia with form WLDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) and a recent loss to River Plate

Aldosivi with form LDLLW and a win in their last match against Banfield

The hosts secured 2 wins in their last 5 games, while the visitors registered only 1 win

统计数据

Independiente Rivadavia scored 39 goals in 25 season games and conceded 27 times

Aldosivi shows a weak offense with only 14 goals in 24 games while conceding 31 goals

The visitors concede an average of 2.00 goals per away game

The hosts average 1.59 goals scored per home match

历史交锋

3 head-to-head matches show a perfectly balanced record

Both teams have secured 1 win each alongside 1 draw

The last encounter on May 3, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Sartori scored 8 season goals in 19 matches

Arce impressed recently with 4 goals in the last 5 games

Florentín holds an average season rating of 7.13

Vombergar scored 4 goals in the last 5 appearances for the visitors

Fernández contributed 2 assists in his last 5 matches

García records 2 assists on average this season

门将

Nicolás Bolcato is in goal for the hosts with an average rating of 6.86

Lucas Acosta guarded the visitors' goal 5 times this season with a 6.68 rating

The home team has recorded 6 clean sheets so far this season

The visitors have managed 5 clean sheets in this campaign

影响因素

An average of 3.8 goals were scored in the last 5 matches at the Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

All 5 of these home games ended with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals

The hosts' home advantage is supported by an average of 1.59 home goals per match

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