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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes - Platense

09/12/2026, 05:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Estudiantes
1.8
Total xG
2.9
Platense
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
ESTPLA

Estudiantes

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.75
防守不足 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.43
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第13位, 相差12位)
+0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
Alexis Castro替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Tomás Palacios未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Ezequiel Piovi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
28%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Platense

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.58
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.52
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第1位, 相差12位)
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.01
Nicolás Retamar替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

26%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

74%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Strong statistical advantage with a 51% calculated home win probability for Estudiantes
  • Estudiantes dominated recent matches with an average of 69% possession and 5.2 shots on target
  • Platense averaged just 46% possession and 4.6 shots on target in their recent outings
风险因素
  • Nicolás Retamar is missing for Platense, leaving only 64% of their usual goal threat available
  • Estudiantes' goal scoring has stalled lately, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Estudiantes host Platense at the Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 12, 2026, 7:45 PM

Top-ranked Estudiantes (1st place, 31 points) face Platense (13th place, 16 points) as the clear favorites

近期状态

Estudiantes have struggled recently with one win, one draw, and three losses (Form: LWLDL)

Platense show better recent form with two wins, two draws, and one loss (Form: WDWLD)

Estudiantes' goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game

统计数据

Estudiantes boast an extremely strong defense, conceding just 0.64 goals per game with 12 clean sheets

At home, Estudiantes concede a mere 0.41 goals per match

Platense average just 0.75 goals per game and failed to score in 12 matches this season

历史交锋

Two head-to-head matches overall with one win for Estudiantes and one draw

The last meeting ended in a 2-0 away win for Estudiantes on May 3, 2026

Estudiantes are the historically dominant side in this matchup

关键球员

Adolfo Gaich leads the Estudiantes attack with 3 goals and 2 assists

Gastón Benedetti strengthens the defense and has provided 2 assists

For Platense, midfielder Franco Zapiola shines with a 7.07 rating, 2 goals, and 2 assists

Not nominated for Estudiantes: Alexis Castro, Tomás Palacios, Ezequiel Piovi

门将

Fabricio Iacovich starts in goal for Estudiantes, boasting a season rating of 7.14

Juan Pablo Cozzani guards the Platense net with a stable rating of 6.88

Estudiantes have kept 12 clean sheets compared to Platense's 7

影响因素

Home advantage favors Estudiantes, who have conceded only 7 goals in 17 home matches

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Venue history shows a solid average of 2.8 goals per match

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