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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Unión Santa Fe - Independiente

09/19/2026, 07:45 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Unión Santa Fe
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Independiente
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
USFIND

Unión Santa Fe

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.16
Ignacio Malcorra替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Independiente

防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.28
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
Lautaro Millán替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅49%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.38
-0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Only 50% of the attacking threat available for Independiente, with Lautaro Millán missing
  • Tactical metrics: Independiente dominated possession recently, averaging 56% ball possession
  • Home defense strength: Unión Santa Fe concedes only 0.79 goals per match on average at home
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
  • Historical H2H record favors Independiente with one away win and one draw
  • Defensive risk from high historical goal-conceding rate in head-to-heads with 11 goals in two games
概述

Unión Santa Fe host Independiente at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 19, 2026, 7:45 PM

The home side is currently in 8th place with 21 points

The visitors travel in 5th place with 24 points

A balanced matchup in the upper-mid table

近期状态

Unión Santa Fe holds a recent form of LWWWL

Their last match ended in a 1-2 defeat away to Talleres Córdoba

Independiente enters the match with a form of WDLWD

The visitors recently drew 1-1 against San Lorenzo

统计数据

Unión Santa Fe scores an average of 1.56 goals per game this season

At home they concede only 0.79 goals per match

Independiente averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded away from home

The home team kept 5 clean sheets in 14 home games

历史交锋

Two head-to-head matches in recent history

Unión Santa Fe with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 win for Independiente

The last direct encounter ended in a spectacular 4-4 draw on March 10, 2026

A total of 11 goals have been scored in this fixture

关键球员

Cristian Tarragona is the top striker for the hosts with 14 goals

Julián Palacios shines in midfield with 3 goals and 8 assists

Santiago Montiel leads the visitors with 3 goals and 4 assists

Not selected is Ignacio Malcorra (1 goal and 1 assist)

门将

Matías Mansilla is in goal for Unión Santa Fe with a rising form rating of 7.27

Rodrigo Rey starts for Independiente with a rising form rating of 7.02

Both goalkeepers have played the majority of the season

影响因素

Strong home defensive record for Unión Santa Fe with only 11 goals conceded in 14 games

Historical average of 3.6 goals per game at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed historical home matches

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