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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - Deportivo Riestra

09/19/2026, 05:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Deportivo Riestra
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
GYEMDR

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.31
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.31
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.09
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+0.05
Facundo Lencioni未进大名单 (4球, 7助攻)
Fermin Antonini替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Tomás O'Connor未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Deportivo Riestra

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.24
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 0.7 赛季平均)
-0.05
Antony Alonso替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
47%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.38
-0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

32%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Form trend: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza is currently scoring more frequently (2.2) than their season average (1.2)
  • Home vs Away performance: Gimnasia concedes only 0.73 goals per home game, while Riestra allows 2.17 goals per away game
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Gimnasia with a home win probability of 40%
风险因素
  • Squad impact for Gimnasia: Facundo Lencioni, Fermin Antonini, and Tomás O'Connor are missing, leaving only 69% of the goal threat active
  • Squad impact for Riestra: Antony Alonso is missing from the lineup, leaving only 66% of the goal threat active
  • Offensive struggles: Deportivo Riestra failed to score in 16 out of 25 matches this season
概述

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (10th place, 19 points) hosts Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 11 points) at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 19, 2026, 6:30 PM

Gimnasia enters this home game as the favorite

近期状态

Home team form is WWWDL

Gimnasia coming off a 0-2 loss against Defensa y Justicia

Away team form is LDDDL

Riestra is winless in their last 5 matches

统计数据

Gimnasia scores 1.12 goals and concedes 1.24 goals on average this season

Strong home defense for Gimnasia with only 0.73 goals conceded per game

Riestra scores only 0.50 goals per away game

Riestra concedes an average of 2.17 goals per away match

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match registered so far

The last match ended in a 0-0 draw on March 12, 2026

Even historical record between both teams

关键球员

Agustín Módica has 12 season goals and scored 5 in his last 5 games

Esteban Fernández shines in midfield with 2 goals and 3 assists

Ezequiel Muñoz stabilizes the defense with a 6.93 rating

Alexander Díaz is the main threat for the visitors with 2 goals

Milton Céliz performs well in midfield with a 6.96 rating

Mariano Bracamonte contributed 1 goal and 1 assist so far

门将

Cesar Rigamonti in goal for Gimnasia with 7 clean sheets this season

Ignacio Arce stands in goal for Riestra with 9 clean sheets

Arce holds a strong season average rating of 7.14

影响因素

Home advantage at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte for Gimnasia

Venue stats show an average of 2.8 goals per match

Away matches are highly demanding for Riestra with 2.17 goals conceded per game

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