🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors

09/20/2026, 05:45 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
San Lorenzo
1.2
Total xG
2.7
Boca Juniors
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SLBJ

San Lorenzo

防守不足 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.06
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.05
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

Boca Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.51倍)
+0.83
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Dylan Gorosito替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.37
-0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

29%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Standings advantage: Second-placed Boca Juniors with 30 points hold a clear advantage over seventh-placed San Lorenzo with 22 points
  • Consistent goalscoring: According to advanced stats, Boca Juniors score consistently at around 1.6 goals per game, while San Lorenzo's goal production is stagnant at 0.8 goals recently
  • Tactical dominance: Boca Juniors averaged 53.6% possession and 4.4 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Squad adjustment: Dylan Gorosito (0 goals, 2 assists in recent stats) was not selected in the starting lineup for Boca Juniors
  • Low-scoring history: Estadio Pedro Bidegain averages just 1.6 goals per game, with BTTS and Over 2.5 rates of only 20%
  • Severe injury concerns: San Lorenzo will miss D. Herrera, E. Cerutti, G. Hernández, and C. Barrios due to injuries
概述

San Lorenzo (7th place, 22 points) host Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 20, 2026, 6:45 PM

Boca Juniors aim to consolidate their top spot position while the hosts seek to close the gap

近期状态

San Lorenzo entry with form WDLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home side recently recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Boca Juniors arrive with form DDWDW

The visitors earned 2 wins and 3 draws in their recent games

统计数据

San Lorenzo averages 0.77 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded this season

In total, the home side kept 13 clean sheets

Boca Juniors averages 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per game

The visitors recorded 11 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

0 home wins, 1 away win, and 1 draw

Goal difference of 3:4 goals

The last encounter on March 11, 2026 ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Alexis Cuello stands out for the hosts with 5 goals and 3 assists this season, holding a 6.9 rating

Rodrigo Auzmendi scored 6 season goals for the home side

Facundo Farías contributed 1 goal with a strong season average rating of 7.51

For the visitors, Miguel Merentiel shines with 7 goals and 2 assists, rating 6.88

Santiago Ascacíbar contributed 5 goals and 2 assists

Leandro Paredes leads the midfield with 2 goals, 3 assists, and a 7.57 rating

门将

José Devecchi played 8 season games for San Lorenzo with a rating of 6.89

Álvaro Montero was also on the pitch 8 times for Boca Juniors this season, rating 7

The hosts kept a total of 13 clean sheets, while the visitors recorded 11 clean sheets

影响因素

San Lorenzo averaged 0.76 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded at home

Boca Juniors scored an average of 1.43 goals and conceded 1.07 goals away from home

Statistics show an average of only 1.6 goals per game at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。