Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Tigre
09/21/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Tigre
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
31%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Form trend: Vélez Sarsfield is stable (DDDWD) while Tigre travels after two consecutive losses (DWDLL)
- Tactical edge: Vélez Sarsfield averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Tigre's low average of 2.2 shots
- Defensive strength: Vélez Sarsfield conceded an average of only 0.73 goals per game in home matches this season
风险因素
- Tigre will have to manage without Martín Garay and Mauro Méndez in the starting lineup
- Low offensive productivity expected with Vélez averaging 3.2 shots on target and Tigre averaging 2.2 in recent matches
- Balanced model predictions with a 33% home win probability and a 36% away win probability
概述
Vélez Sarsfield hosts Tigre at the Estadio José Amalfitani
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 21, 2026, 1:30 AM
Vélez Sarsfield is in 3rd place with 28 points
Tigre occupies 10th place with 18 points
The hosts are fighting to close the gap at the top of the table
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield shows stable form with the string DDDWD
The last games resulted in 1 win and 4 draws
Tigre is struggling recently with the form DWDLL
The visitors recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield scores an average of 1.15 goals and concedes 0.77 goals this season
In their home games, the hosts average 1.18 goals scored and 0.73 goals conceded
Tigre averages 1.00 goal scored per game and concedes 0.84 goals
In away games, the visitors average 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 goal conceded
Both teams scored in 14 of Vélez Sarsfield's 26 matches this season
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in history
Vélez Sarsfield secured 2 wins, while Tigre won 1 time
The last direct meeting ended in a 1:1 draw
The goal difference in direct encounters stands at 4:5 from Vélez Sarsfield's perspective
关键球员
Manuel Lanzini has 6 goals this season with an average rating of 7.16
Matías Pellegrini has contributed 3 goals and 4 assists so far
Ronaldo Martínez features 2 goals with a rating of 7.5
Ignacio Russo scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists this season
Gonzalo Martínez has recorded 3 goals and 1 assist
Alan Barrionuevo stands out with 2 goals and a rating of 7.17
门将
Tomás Marchiori is in goal for the hosts and holds an average rating of 7.12
Vélez Sarsfield has recorded 10 clean sheets this season
Felipe Zenobio guards the visitors' goal with an average rating of 6.9
Tigre has registered a total of 8 clean sheets so far
影响因素
Vélez Sarsfield benefits from home advantage on grass at the Estadio José Amalfitani
The historical home record shows an average of 1.2 total goals per match
There has been a low BTTS rate of 20% in past home matches