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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia

09/21/2026, 10:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Barracas Central
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Independiente Rivadavia
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

13%

0:2

9%

1:0

9%
xG 分解
BCIR

Barracas Central

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.18
防守不足 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.7 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第2位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Tomás Porra未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Gonzalo Maroni替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Facundo Bruera替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
45%进球产出缺失 (仅47%可用)

Independiente Rivadavia

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.37
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.08
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Álex Arce 未进大名单 (9球, 1助攻)
Gonzalo Ríos替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.37
-0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

33%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Only 48% of the usual starting XI strength is available, as Tomás Porra, Gonzalo Maroni, and Facundo Bruera are missing
  • Independiente Rivadavia averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • The mathematical analysis favors the visitors with an away win probability of 43%
风险因素
  • Barracas Central scores an average of only 0.79 goals per home game
  • Barracas Central averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data availability regarding duels
概述

Barracas Central (8th place, 20 points) host Independiente Rivadavia (2nd place, 28 points) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 21, 2026, 10:00 PM

The visitors arrive as second in the table and want to keep the pressure on the top

近期状态

Barracas Central is in weak form with the form string LLDDD

Numbers for the home team show 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses

Independiente Rivadavia is more stable with the form string LDWLW

Numbers for the away team show 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Barracas Central scored an average of 0.8 goals per game this season

The home team conceded an average of 0.84 goals per match

Independiente Rivadavia scored an average of 1.65 goals per game this season

The visitors conceded an average of 1.15 goals per encounter

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the two teams so far

The record is completely balanced with 1 win for each team and 2 draws

The last encounter ended with a 2-1 win for the home team on March 12, 2026

The goal difference stands at 3-5 in favor of Independiente Rivadavia

关键球员

Iván Tapia is a key driver in midfield with 3 goals and 2 assists this season

Norberto Briasco contributed 1 goal in 16 appearances

Nicolás Demartini stabilizes the defense with a season rating average of 6.75

Matías Fernández shines for the visitors with 3 goals and 5 assists

Fabrizio Sartori is the most clinical attacker with 8 goals this season

Not nominated: Álex Arce (9 goals and 1 assist), Gonzalo Ríos (3 goals and 4 assists)

门将

Marcelo Miño plays in goal for Barracas Central and contributed to the team's 9 clean sheets so far

For Independiente Rivadavia, Nicolás Bolcato guards the goal, with his team keeping 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Stadium statistics show an average of 1.6 goals per game in past matches

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 home games, and there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of them

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