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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Gimnasia La Plata - Banfield

09/19/2026, 05:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Gimnasia La Plata
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Banfield
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
GLPBAN

Gimnasia La Plata

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.43倍)
+0.80
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.11
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
全员可用

Banfield

排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第6位, 相差6位)
-0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
Santiago López García替补席 (2球, 5助攻)
Tomás Adoryán未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.38
-0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

27%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

73%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Banfield must cope without key players Santiago López García and Tomás Adoryán in the starting lineup, leaving them with only 78% of their usual strength
  • Gimnasia La Plata averaged 1.4 goals per game recently, whereas Banfield concedes a high average of 1.9 goals away
  • The mathematical model predicts a solid home win probability of 50% with 1.72 expected goals for the hosts
风险因素
  • Both teams were counter-oriented in recent matches with an average of under 40% possession
  • Gimnasia La Plata conceded an average of 2.0 goals in recent matches, which is significantly above the season average of 1.31
概述

Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 22 points) host Banfield (12th place, 15 points) at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 19, 2026, 5:30 PM

The home side enters this mid-table clash as the favorite

近期状态

Gimnasia La Plata shows the form LLWWD with a recent 1-1 draw against Argentinos Juniors

The home team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches

Banfield travels with the form WLLLD and recently drew 1-1 against Barracas Central

The visitors registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent streak

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game this season

In home matches, 1.2 goals scored compare to a solid defense with only 0.93 goals conceded

Banfield averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded in this campaign

Away from home, the visitors concede a high average of 1.9 goals per game while scoring only 1.0

Both teams scored in 13 out of 27 matches played by the home team

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

Gimnasia La Plata won both encounters with a goal difference of 5-1

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Gimnasia La Plata on March 11, 2026

The home side has dominated previous direct matchups

关键球员

Agustín Auzmendi scored 6 goals this season and netted three times in the last five games

Nacho Fernández contributed 4 assists and shows an upward form trend

Nicolás Barros Schelotto achieves a strong average season rating of 7.18

Lautaro Gómez is a key midfield player on the opposing side with 4 goals

Alexander Machado scored 1 goal in 5 appearances this campaign

Ignacio Abraham has already recorded 4 assists in the ongoing season

门将

Nelson Insfrán has kept 8 clean sheets this season

The home team's goalkeeper recorded 5 of those in his own stadium

Banfield fields Marcos Ariel López, a goalkeeper with 2 clean sheets away from home

影响因素

The home advantage is reflected in a stable defense with only 14 goals conceded in 15 home matches

Matches at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo have averaged 2.6 goals per game so far

The natural grass surface suits the playing style of both teams

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