Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia La Plata
10/03/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Independiente Rivadavia
Gimnasia La Plata
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
27%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Strong home defense: Independiente Rivadavia concedes an average of only 0.95 goals per game at home
- Statistical edge: The mathematical prediction forecasts a home win with a 54% probability
- Perfect head-to-head record: Independiente Rivadavia won both previous direct encounters
风险因素
- Weakened squad: Key players Álex Arce and Gonzalo Ríos are missing from the starting lineup
- Vulnerable away defense: Gimnasia La Plata concedes an average of 1.67 goals on the road
概述
Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 34 points) host Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 26 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 3, 2026, 1:30 AM
The league leaders host the sixth-placed team at the Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
近期状态
Form of Independiente Rivadavia: DWLWW
The home team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently
Form of Gimnasia La Plata: LWWDD
The visitors recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently
统计数据
Independiente Rivadavia scores an average of 1.63 goals and concedes 1.11 goals
At home, they average 1.63 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded
Gimnasia La Plata scores an average of 1.25 goals and concedes 1.29 goals
On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals per game
历史交锋
2 head-to-head matches in history
Independiente Rivadavia won both previous meetings
The last direct duel ended in a 3-2 win for Independiente Rivadavia
关键球员
José Florentín scored 2 goals in the last 5 games and has a season rating of 7.18
Fabrizio Sartori has scored 8 goals this season for the hosts
Matías Fernández contributed 3 goals and 5 assists this season
Agustín Auzmendi scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches for the visitors
Nacho Fernández registered 2 goals and 4 assists this season
Pedro Silva Torrejón recorded 1 goal and 3 assists this season
门将
Nicolás Bolcato has a season average rating of 6.89
Nelson Insfrán has a season average rating of 6.92
The home team has kept 7 clean sheets, while the visitors have 8
影响因素
Home advantage at the Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini on grass
Stadium statistics show an average of 4.0 goals per game with a 100% BTTS rate