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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central

10/03/2026, 08:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Atlético Tucumán
0.8
Total xG
1.6
Barracas Central
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

21%

1:0

15%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
ATBC

Atlético Tucumán

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.55
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.15
Leandro Díaz替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
Clever Ferreira未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
45%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

Barracas Central

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.22
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.17
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.11
状态下滑 (0.7 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.08
Tomás Porra未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.36
-0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

38%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

50%

Under 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

23%

Under 2.5

77%

Over 3.5

8%

Under 3.5

92%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

62%

双方进球

是

33%

否

67%

关键因素
  • Tactical approach: Atlético Tucumán recently adopted a counter-attacking style averaging only 35.4% possession
  • Low-scoring venue: Match history at the Estadio Monumental shows an average of only 1.2 goals per game in recent matches
  • Struggling away attack: Barracas Central's offense is currently stalling, averaging only 0.7 goals compared to their season average of 1.0
风险因素
  • Leandro Díaz, Clever Ferreira missing, only 68% of seasonal goal threat available
  • Tomás Porra missing, only 67% of seasonal goal threat available
  • Both teams recently showed low attacking threat, averaging fewer than 3.0 shots on target per match
概述

Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 3, 2026, 10:00 PM

Lower table clash between 13th and 9th place

Both teams desperately need points to stabilize

近期状态

Atlético Tucumán form: DDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Two consecutive losses for the home side

Barracas Central form: LDDDL

The visitors are winless in their last five matches

统计数据

Atlético Tucumán scores avg. 0.85 goals and concedes avg. 1.00 goals per match

Defensively more stable at home conceding avg. 0.83 goals

Barracas Central scores avg. 0.77 goals and concedes avg. 0.85 goals

On the road the visitors concede an average of only 0.83 goals

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

Even record with 1 win each

Last meeting ended 2-1 for Barracas Central

Goal difference of 3-2 in favor of Barracas Central

关键球员

Lautaro Godoy in great form with 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 matches

Renzo Tesuri has recorded 2 goals in 26 season appearances

Franco Nicola contributes with 2 goals and 1 assist this season

Iván Tapia leads Barracas with 3 goals and 2 assists this season

Kevin Jappert anchors the defense with an average rating of 6.94

Nicolás Demartini has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

门将

Luis Ingolotti starts in goal for the hosts, keeping 11 clean sheets

On the other side, Marcelo Miño stars with a strong season rating of 7.31

Barracas Central has registered 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro is known as a defensively-minded venue

An average of only 1.2 total goals are scored per match at this stadium

Tucumán's home record is balanced with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded

Barracas travels with a solid away defense, conceding just 0.83 goals per game

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