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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Tigre

10/04/2026, 10:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Argentinos Juniors
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Tigre
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

2:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AJTIG

Argentinos Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.5倍)
+0.42
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.29
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.05
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)

Tigre

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.07
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.01
Martín Garay替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Mauro Méndez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.36
-0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

29%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

48%

否

52%

关键因素
  • Argentinos Juniors averaged a dominant 63.2% ball possession in recent matches
  • The hosts concede an extremely low seasonal average of just 0.42 goals per home game
  • The mathematical model calculates a 51% home win probability for Argentinos Juniors
风险因素
  • Argentinos Juniors' goalscoring has slumped recently to an average of 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Tigre dominates the historical record with two wins from the last four meetings
  • Tigre will be missing the unselected Martín Garay and Mauro Méndez
概述

Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 29 points) host Tigre (10th place, 20 points) at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 4, 2026, 10:15 PM

The home side looks to maintain its push for the top spots

近期状态

Argentinos Juniors show mixed recent form with only one win in their last five matches (Form: DWDDL - W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Tigre arrive struggling with three consecutive losses (Form: WDLLL)

统计数据

Argentinos Juniors average 1.17 goals scored and only 0.79 goals conceded this season

The hosts are extremely solid at home, conceding just 0.42 goals per home game

Tigre average 1.04 goals scored and concede 1.08 goals per away match

历史交锋

Balanced historical record over the last 4 head-to-head matches

Tigre won twice, while Argentinos Juniors won once alongside one draw

The last meeting on March 16, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Gastón Verón shines in the home attack with 4 goals this season, including 3 in his last 5 matches

Nicolás Oroz controls the midfield with 2 goals and 4 assists, averaging a 7.03 rating

Francisco Álvarez anchors the defense with an outstanding seasonal rating of 7.25

For Tigre, Ignacio Russo is the main threat with 8 goals and 4 assists

Defender Alan Barrionuevo impresses with a consistent season and a rating of 7.14

Midfielder Jabes Saralegui shows rising form with 3 assists so far this season

门将

Gonzalo Siri starts in goal for Argentinos Juniors, who have secured 13 clean sheets this season

Tigre's Felipe Zenobio has 24 appearances with a solid average rating of 6.90

影响因素

Strong home advantage for the hosts, who concede only 0.42 goals per game on their own turf

The Estadio Diego Armando Maradona averages a relatively low 2.0 goals per match

The weather is ideal at 19.81°C with clear skies, perfect for a smooth game on grass

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