Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Platense
10/05/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Platense
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
29%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Form trend: Vélez Sarsfield shows a positive trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.6) compared to their season average (1.3)
- Defensive edge: Vélez's stable home defense (0.77 goals conceded) meets Platense's low-scoring away attack averaging 0.73 goals
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis gives the home side a 42% chance of winning and a 71% probability of a home win or draw
风险因素
- Platense recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match
- Vélez Sarsfield ended up drawing in 3 of their last 5 fixtures
概述
Vélez Sarsfield hosts Platense at the Estadio José Amalfitani
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 5, 2026, 10:00 PM
Vélez Sarsfield is currently in 3rd place with 28 points
Platense occupies the 12th position with 16 points
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield is in solid shape with a form of DDWDW
The hosts recorded 2 wins and 3 draws recently
Platense is struggling with a form string of WLDLL
The visitors suffered 2 consecutive defeats lately
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield scored 33 goals in 27 matches this season
The hosts average 1.22 goals per game
Platense scored only 19 times in 26 games, averaging 0.73
Defensively, Vélez Sarsfield is stable with 0.81 goals conceded per game
Platense concedes an average of 1.15 goals per match
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches recently
Vélez Sarsfield won 2 of these matches while Platense won 1
One encounter ended in a draw
The last meeting on March 14, 2026 ended in a 2-0 victory for Vélez Sarsfield
关键球员
Manuel Lanzini shines in midfield with 6 goals in 27 matches this season
Ronaldo Martínez scored 4 goals in just 3 season appearances
Elías Gómez contributed 4 assists in 26 games
Nicolás Retamar has registered 3 goals and 2 assists this season
Guido Mainero scored 2 goals in 25 appearances
Bruno Sepúlveda recently scored 3 goals in 5 games
门将
Tomás Marchiori guards the goal for Vélez Sarsfield, averaging a 7.09 rating over the last 5 matches
Vélez Sarsfield achieved 10 clean sheets so far this season
Juan Pablo Cozzani plays in goal for Platense and holds a 7.10 rating in his last 5 appearances
Platense recorded 7 clean sheets during this campaign
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio José Amalfitani
Weather forecasts predict overcast clouds with mild 18.28°C and 47% humidity
Vélez Sarsfield averages 1.23 goals scored and 0.77 conceded at home
Platense scores an average of 0.73 goals and concedes 0.87 on the road