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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

10/05/2026, 10:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Estudiantes
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
ESTGYEM

Estudiantes

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.62
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第11位, 相差10位)
+0.08
Alexis Castro未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
Fabricio Pérez替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Eric Meza未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

状态上升 (2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.25
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第1位, 相差10位)
-0.10
Luciano Cingolani未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.36
-0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

27%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

48%

否

52%

关键因素
  • Stout home defense: Estudiantes concede an average of just 0.42 goals on their own turf
  • Tactical edge: The hosts averaged 62% possession and 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis favors the hosts with a 55% win probability
风险因素
  • Recent scoring slump: Estudiantes scored just 0.75 goals recently compared to their 1.30 season average
  • In-form striker: Agustín Módica scored five goals in his last five matches for the visitors
  • Previous head-to-head loss: The only direct meeting ended in a 1-2 defeat
概述

Estudiantes host Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture on October 5, 2026, 10:00 PM

An important clash for the home team to stay in the upper part of the table

近期状态

Estudiantes are struggling with a recent form of LDLWL and just one win in five matches

The visitors arrive with a more stable form of WWDLD

Mendoza drew their last game while the hosts suffered a defeat

统计数据

Estudiantes boast an extremely stable defense conceding only 0.7 goals per game this season

At home the host team concedes an average of just 0.42 goals

The visitors struggle on the road conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away match

历史交锋

There has been only one previous direct encounter between these sides

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza won that home match 2-1

The last meeting took place on March 18, 2026

关键球员

Adolfo Gaich is a key factor in attack with 4 goals

Leandro González Pírez stabilizes the defense with a strong rating of 7.08

Not nominated: Alexis Castro (4 goals), Fabricio Pérez (3 goals), Eric Meza (2 assists)

门将

Fernando Muslera plays in goal for the hosts with a rating of 7.11 and 12 clean sheets this season

Cesar Rigamonti guards the visitors' goal with a stable rating of 7.09

影响因素

The game will be played on natural grass at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Weather is steady at 17.82°C with overcast clouds

The venue history averages 2.4 goals per match

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