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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Aldosivi

10/04/2026, 05:45 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Huracán
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Aldosivi
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

10%
xG 分解
HURALD

Huracán

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.64
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
Jordy Caicedo未进大名单 (13球, 0助攻)
César Ibáñez替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)

Aldosivi

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.73
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.28
状态上升 (1.8 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.28
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.06

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.2球)
-0.35
-0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

27%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

47%

否

53%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a 56% home win probability for Huracán
  • Aldosivi averaged 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Huracán currently scores more frequently at an average of 1.5 goals compared to their season average
风险因素
  • Aldosivi concede an average of 1.85 goals per away game
  • Aldosivi have failed to keep a clean sheet in all 13 away matches this season
  • Huracán averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Huracán (7th place, 22 points) host Aldosivi (14th place, 8 points) at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 4, 2026, 6:45 PM

Huracán enter as favorites against winless Aldosivi

近期状态

Huracán are unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of DDDWW

Aldosivi recorded 2 wins and 3 losses recently with a form of LLWLW

Both teams won their respective last match

统计数据

Huracán score an average of 1.07 goals per game this season and concede 0.86

Aldosivi average 0.69 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per match

In 14 home games, Huracán have conceded only 10 goals

历史交锋

Out of 3 head-to-head matches, there were 2 draws and 1 win for Aldosivi

The goal difference stands at 3:5 from Huracán's perspective

The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on March 16, 2026

关键球员

For Huracán, Óscar Cortés shines with 3 goals and 5 assists, while Lucas Blondel has 2 goals

Facundo Waller has already contributed 2 goals this season

Not selected are Jordy Caicedo with 13 goals and César Ibáñez with 3 assists

门将

Huracán goalkeeper Sebastián Meza is set for his second appearance of the season, while the team has kept 11 clean sheets so far

Away goalkeeper Lucas Acosta has made 7 seasonal appearances, with Aldosivi recording 6 clean sheets overall

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

The weather on match day is clear sky at 19.74°C with 49% humidity

In recent matches at this stadium, an average of only 1.2 goals were scored

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