Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe
10/03/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
10%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Boca Juniors
Unión Santa Fe
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
29%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Form and home strength: Boca Juniors is unbeaten in 5 matches and scores an average of 1.45 goals at home
- Tactical dominance: Boca Juniors averaged 56% possession and 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Mathematical advantage: The model calculates a 50% win probability for the hosts and 1.54 expected goals
风险因素
- Defensive weakness: Unión Santa Fe concedes an average of 1.86 goals per away game
- Dangerous attack: Unión Santa Fe currently scores more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.7)
概述
Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) host Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 21 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 3, 2026, 1:30 AM
Boca Juniors enters this home game at Estadio Alberto José Armando as the second-placed favorites
近期状态
Boca Juniors showing stable form (DWDWW) with two consecutive wins
Unión Santa Fe (WWWLL) suffered two consecutive defeats recently
Stats: Boca Juniors has 3 wins and 2 draws, Unión Santa Fe has 3 wins and 2 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Boca Juniors scores an average of 1.41 goals and concedes 0.85 goals per game this season
In home matches, Boca Juniors scores 1.45 goals and concedes 0.73 on average
Unión Santa Fe averages 1.50 goals scored but concedes 1.86 goals on the road
The visitors have kept 0 clean sheets in away games this season
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in history
Boca Juniors with 1 win, Unión Santa Fe with 0 wins and 3 draws
Goal difference of 4:3 in favor of Boca Juniors
The last encounter on March 16, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
关键球员
Miguel Merentiel with 8 goals and 2 assists this season
Santiago Ascacíbar contributed 5 goals and 2 assists
Leandro Paredes has an average season rating of 7.59
Cristian Tarragona is the most dangerous attacker with 14 goals
Julián Palacios impresses with 8 assists in midfield
Brahian David Cuello scored 4 league goals so far
门将
Leandro Brey guards the net for Boca Juniors with 7 appearances this season
Matías Mansilla features for Unión Santa Fe with 28 appearances and 5 clean sheets
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at Estadio Alberto José Armando
Venue statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per game with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches