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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Banfield - Rosario Central

10/06/2026, 12:15 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Banfield
1.3
Total xG
3.3
Rosario Central
2.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
BANRC

Banfield

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.26
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第4位, 相差8位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
Santiago López García替补席 (2球, 5助攻)

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.61倍)
+1.55
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第12位, 相差8位)
+0.08
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
Jáminton Campaz未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.36
-0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

24%

客胜

54%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

46%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

76%

双方进球

是

63%

否

37%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model projects an away win with a 54% probability and 2.04 expected goals for Rosario Central
  • Rosario Central arrives with a better form curve (DLDWW), while Banfield is winless in five matches (LLLDD)
  • Rosario Central averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches, demonstrating more offensive activity than Banfield with 4.6
风险因素
  • Jáminton Campaz and Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy are missing for the visitors, leaving only 69% of their seasonal assists available
  • Rosario Central's goal production has slowed down recently, averaging 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Banfield's defense has shown vulnerability this season, conceding an average of 1.35 goals per game
概述

Banfield hosts Rosario Central at the Estadio Florencio Sola

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 6, 2026, 1:15 AM

Banfield currently occupies 12th place with 18 points

Rosario Central visits as the 4th-placed team with 28 points

近期状态

Banfield is waiting for a win for five matches

The home team's form trend shows LLLDD

Rosario Central recorded two consecutive wins recently

The visitors' form trend stands at DLDWW

统计数据

Banfield scored an average of 1.08 goals per game this season

The home side conceded an average of 1.35 goals per match

Rosario Central averages 1.24 goals and concedes only 0.93 goals per game

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches between the teams

Rosario Central managed to win one of those games

The last encounter on March 15, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Rosario Central

关键球员

Lautaro Gómez has scored 5 goals so far this season

David Zalazar contributed 2 goals and 3 assists

Ángel Di María is a key asset with 8 goals and 4 assists

Enzo Copetti scored 5 times this season and provided 1 assist

影响因素

Estadio Florencio Sola features an average of 2.8 goals per match

The weather is cloudy with a temperature of 16.11°C and humidity of 67%

The home advantage is reflected in only 0.93 goals conceded per home game

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