🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente - Instituto

10/02/2026, 10:15 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Independiente
0.8
Total xG
1.9
Instituto
1.1
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
INDINS

Independiente

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.01

Instituto

状态上升 (2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.24
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.51倍)
+0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.12
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.03
Fernando Alarcón 替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.37
-0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

35%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

65%

双方进球

是

39%

否

61%

关键因素
  • Offensive trend: Instituto currently scores more frequently averaging 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Tactical control: Independiente controlled recent matches with an average of 55% possession and averaged 4.2 shots on target
  • Defensive stability: Instituto concedes an average of only 0.92 goals per match this season
风险因素
  • Missing key player: Instituto has to play without the unlisted Fernando Alarcón
  • Defensive weakness away: Instituto concedes an average of 1.44 goals per away game
  • Low-scoring venue: Matches at the Estadio Libertadores de América average only 1.4 goals per game this season
概述

Independiente hosts Instituto at the Estadio Libertadores de América

Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture on October 2, 2026, 10:15 PM

Independiente sits in 5th place with 24 points

Instituto travels as the 9th-placed team with 21 points

A close battle in the upper mid-table

近期状态

Independiente enters with a form of DLWDW

The home side recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently

Instituto shows a form of DWLWW

The visitors achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss lately

Both teams won their respective last match

统计数据

Independiente averages 1.3 goals scored per match this season

The hosts concede an average of 1.15 goals per game

Instituto scores an average of 1.15 goals per match

Away from home, Instituto concedes an average of 1.44 goals

Independiente secured 5 clean sheets in home matches so far

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

The record stands at 1 win for Independiente, 2 wins for Instituto, and 1 draw

The overall goal ratio is 4 to 5 against Independiente

The last encounter on March 17, 2026, ended in a 1-2 victory for Instituto

关键球员

Santiago Montiel stands out for the hosts with 4 goals and 4 assists

Matías Abaldo contributed 5 goals and 3 assists this season

Alex Luna is a key asset for Instituto with 6 goals and 4 assists

Giuliano Cerato has registered 6 goals and 1 assist

Diego Sosa supports the team with 1 goal and 4 assists

门将

Rodrigo Rey played 27 matches for Independiente with a 6.81 average rating

Marcos Ledesma made 10 appearances for Instituto with a 6.8 average rating

The home side kept 8 clean sheets throughout the season

The away team recorded 9 clean sheets in total this season

影响因素

Matches at the Estadio Libertadores de América on grass average 1.4 goals

The home advantage is backed by Independiente's 1.31 home goals per match

At home, the host team conceded only 1.08 goals per game

The last direct duel at this venue ended in a scoreless draw

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。