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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Newell's Old Boys - Lanús

10/03/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Newell's Old Boys
1.0
Total xG
2.6
Lanús
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
NOBLAN

Newell's Old Boys

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.26
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第6位, 相差8位)
-0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.02
全员可用

Lanús

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.86
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第14位, 相差8位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Felipe Peña Biafore未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.36
-0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

28%

客胜

48%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

52%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

53%

否

47%

关键因素
  • Felipe Peña Biafore is missing for the visitors, leaving only 76% of the usual starting XI strength available
  • Lanús are 6th in the table and present a solid defense, conceding only 0.96 goals per game on average
  • Lanús averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Newell's 4.0
风险因素
  • Lanús concede an average of 1.07 goals per game in away matches
  • Newell's Old Boys are currently scoring more frequently with 1.3 goals per game than their season average of 1.1
概述

Newell's Old Boys host Lanús at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 3, 2026, 10:00 PM

Newell's sit in 14th place with 15 points

Lanús visit as the 6th-placed team with 24 points

Mathematical predictions favor the away team

近期状态

Newell's Old Boys form: WDDDW

The home side is unbeaten in 5 matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws

Lanús form: DLWWW

The visitors have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Both teams won their respective last match

统计数据

Newell's average 1.00 goal and concede 1.35 goals per game

Lanús average 1.15 goals scored and 0.96 goals conceded

Newell's kept 6 clean sheets this season

Lanús kept 11 clean sheets so far

Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa averages 2.4 goals per match

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in total

Both teams have won 1 match each

Goal difference stands at 2:6 in favor of Lanús

The last encounter ended on March 17, 2026, with a clear 5-0 victory for Lanús

关键球员

Matías Cóccaro has already scored 6 goals this season

Facundo Guch contributed with 2 goals and 4 assists

Eduardo Salvio stands out for the visitors with 2 goals and 6 assists

Carlos Izquierdoz recorded 3 goals this season as a defender

Felipe Peña Biafore with 3 goals this season is not nominated

门将

Josué Reinatti played 15 matches with an average rating of 7.18

Reinatti has kept 6 clean sheets this season

Nahuel Losada played 25 matches with a rating of 7.1

Losada kept 11 clean sheets in this campaign

影响因素

The game is played on natural grass

The BTTS rate in Newell's home games is 60%

Newell's scored 14 and conceded 14 goals in 14 home games

Lanús conceded 15 goals in 14 away matches

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