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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Defensa y Justicia - San Lorenzo

10/03/2026, 05:45 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Defensa y Justicia
1.3
Total xG
1.9
San Lorenzo
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

17%

0:0

16%

1:1

14%

2:0

12%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
DYJSL

Defensa y Justicia

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
César Pérez未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)

San Lorenzo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.41
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.12
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体0.9球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.36
-0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

33%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

67%

双方进球

是

37%

否

63%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis estimates a 49% probability of a home win for Defensa y Justicia
  • Defensa y Justicia averaged 4.6 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • San Lorenzo's attack is stalling with only 0.5 goals in recent games compared to their season average of 0.91
风险因素
  • Defensa y Justicia has to play without A. Molinas (3 goals, 4 assists)
  • San Lorenzo struggles offensively when traveling, averaging just 0.78 goals per away game
  • Minor squad restriction for the hosts with César Pérez (1 goal, 3 assists) not in the lineup
概述

Defensa y Justicia hosts San Lorenzo

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on October 3, 2026, 6:45 PM

The hosts (10th place, 19 points) face the visitors (7th place, 22 points) at the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

A tight mid-table clash with only three points separating the teams

近期状态

Form of Defensa y Justicia: WWLWD with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in recent games

Form of San Lorenzo: DLWDL with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The home side enters the game in better shape than the struggling visitors

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Defensa y Justicia scores an average of 1.19 goals and concedes 1.23 per game this season

San Lorenzo averages only 0.74 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded

The visitors boast a strong defense but struggle severely in attack

Away from home, San Lorenzo concedes 1.00 goal per game on average

历史交锋

A total of 2 head-to-head matches in the database

The last meeting ended in a clear 5-2 home victory for Defensa y Justicia on March 16, 2026

Goal difference stands at 5-2 in favor of the hosts

关键球员

David Barbona shines for Defensa y Justicia with a 7.20 rating, scoring 1 goal and delivering 2 assists in the last 5 matches

Leandro Fernández recently contributed 2 goals and 1 assist

San Lorenzo's Facundo Farías holds a 7.12 rating with 1 goal scored

门将

Matías Borgogno guards the goal for Defensa y Justicia with 7 clean sheets this season

José Devecchi stands in goal for San Lorenzo, recording an impressive 13 clean sheets

Both keepers averaged ratings above 7.00 in their last 5 appearances

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Venue stats show an average of 2.4 goals per match

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 matches at this venue

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