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Tigre – Banfield1 : 2
模型为何这样判断
Tigre
1.61
总 xG
2.75
Banfield
1.14
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Tigre | Banfield |
|---|---|---|
| 防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1球) | +0.49 | |
| 低进球联赛 (场均2.2球) | −0.34 | −0.34 |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球) | −0.14 | |
| 状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均) | −0.08 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | +0.07 | |
| 状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.2 赛季平均) | +0.07 | |
| Santiago López García替补席 (2球, 5助攻) | ||
| Lautaro Gómez未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻) | ||
| 54%进球产出缺失 (仅94%可用) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球) | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Mathematical model calculates a 47% home win probability for Tigre with 1.61 expected goals
- Banfield's lineup is missing key players Lautaro Gómez (5 goals) and Santiago López García (2 goals, 5 assists)
- Banfield averaged 13.4 total shots and 4.4 shots on target in recent matches using a counter-oriented setup
风险
- Tigre are in a slump with 4 consecutive losses
- Banfield concede an average of 1.91 goals per away game
- Banfield have only 4 days of rest since their last match under rainy conditions
全部概率
赛果
Tigre47%
平局28%
Banfield26%
进球
大于 1.578%
小于 1.522%
大于 2.552%
小于 2.548%
大于 3.530%
小于 3.570%
双重机会
Tigre或平局74%
Banfield或平局53%
非平局72%
双方均进球
是56%
否44%
最可能的比分
1:1
13%
2:1
9%
2:0
8%
1:2
7%
2:2
5%
首发阵容
Tigre 4-4-2 · Banfield 4-2-3-1
Tigre
- 12 F. Zenobio
- 4 V. Moreno
- 2 J. Laso
- 20 A. Barrionuevo
- 24 F. Álvarez
- 10 J. Saralegui
- 27 S. González
- 5 B. Leyes Sosa
- 22 S. López Grobin
- 30 J. Domina
- 29 I. Russo Cordero
Banfield
- 50 D. Rodríguez
- 4 J. Alfaro
- 2 S. Daniele
- 6 N. Meriano
- 27 L. Abraham
- 5 S. Esquivel
- 20 T. Adoryán
- 18 F. Medina
- 7 L. Piñero
- 40 D. Zalazar
- 9 A. Balboa Camacho
替补
- 19 A. Oviedo Álvarez
- 11 T. Serrago
- 32 J. Villalba
- 8 M. Garay
- 17 G. Soto Arredondo
- 18 M. Fernández
- 25 I. Subiabre
- 50 I. Peluffo
- 23 G. Requena
- 40 L. Minniti
- 47 S.ebastian Lezcano
- 26 L. Morales
- 24 S. López Garcia
- 77 T. Rodríguez Trogsar
- 35 I. Pais Mayán
- 30 F. Anselmo
- 25 G. Santilli
- 21 L. Villegas
- 13 B. Zacarias Oviedo
- 3 N. Paz
- 28 M. Hernández
- 16 J. Acosta
- 19 L. Cano
- 37 R. Malanca
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