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Serie A

Botafogo - Vitória

07/23/2026, 10:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Botafogo
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Vitória
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BOTVIT

Botafogo

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.07
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.06
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.04

Vitória

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.34
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.31
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.3球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage for the hosts: Botafogo's strong home attack (1.89 goals avg) faces Vitória's highly vulnerable away defense conceding 3.67 goals on average
  • Tactical approach: Botafogo recently averaged 5.8 shots on target per match with a counter-oriented style of play
  • Historical stalemate trend: All 4 previous league encounters between these two teams have ended in a draw
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: Botafogo concede 1.78 goals per match on average and have managed only 1 clean sheet all season
  • Declining scoring form: Botafogo's goal production has slowed down recently, averaging 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.83
概述

Botafogo (10th place, 25 points) host Vitória (12th place, 25 points) at the Estádio Nilton Santos

Serie A match on July 23, 2026, 11:30 PM

A direct clash between two mid-table teams level on points

近期状态

Botafogo's form is DWDLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They won their last home match 2-1 against Santos

Vitória head into the game with a DLWLW form

Both sides won their most recent league fixture

统计数据

Botafogo score an average of 1.89 goals per home game

Vitória concede a massive 3.67 goals per away match on average

Every home game of Botafogo so far saw over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

All 4 previous head-to-head encounters ended in a draw

Their last meeting finished in a 0-0 stalemate on November 9, 2025

The historic record between the two teams is completely even

关键球员

Arthur Cabral leads Botafogo with 7 season goals and showing a rising form trend

Matheus Martins has contributed 4 goals so far this season

Renê is Vitória's top threat with 5 goals in 11 appearances

门将

Warleson guards the net for Botafogo, while Lucas Arcanjo plays for Vitória

Lucas Arcanjo has recorded 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio Nilton Santos

The venue has seen a high scoring average of 3.8 goals per match recently

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