Serie A
Flamengo - Mirassol
09/02/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.7
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
12%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Flamengo
Mirassol
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
62%
平局
24%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
38%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Strong defensive edge: Flamengo concedes only 0.73 goals per home game, while Mirassol allows 2.00 goals on average away
- Flamengo recently dominated with an average of 62% possession and 5.6 shots on target per match
- The mathematical model predicts a high home win probability of 62%
风险因素
- High workload: Both teams have only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
- Key absences: Giorgian de Arrascaeta (3 goals, 3 assists) is missing for Flamengo, Eduardo (4 goals) for Mirassol
概述
Flamengo (2nd place, 48 points) hosts Mirassol (16th place, 25 points) at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A match on September 2, 2026, 11:30 PM
Clear favorite role for the home team in the battle for the top spot
近期状态
Flamengo is in solid shape with the form DWWLW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The hosts recorded 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
Mirassol is struggling with the form WLLDD
The visitors managed only 1 win in their last 5 games
统计数据
Flamengo averages 2.00 goals scored per game and conceded just 0.73 goals per home match
The hosts have kept 10 clean sheets this season
Mirassol scores 1.11 goals on average away from home and concedes 2.00 goals per away game
The visitors have kept only 1 clean sheet throughout the entire season
历史交锋
Historical dominance for Flamengo with 2 wins and 1 draw in 3 encounters
The last head-to-head match on August 16, 2026 ended in a clear 5-1 victory for Flamengo
A total of 15 goals have been scored in this matchup so far
关键球员
Pedro leads the attack with 15 goals and 4 assists
Samuel Lino shines with 8 season goals and 7 assists
Jorge Carrascal dictates the midfield with 4 goals and 5 assists
Igor Formiga is a key defender with 4 goals and 2 assists
João Victor contributed 2 goals this season
Carlos Eduardo has recorded 1 goal and 1 assist
门将
Agustín Rossi played 24 matches for Flamengo, keeping 10 clean sheets
Walter played 22 matches for Mirassol, keeping 1 clean sheet
影响因素
Flamengo has strong home turf advantage with 22 home goals scored in 11 games
The legendary Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho offers a historic atmosphere on natural grass