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Serie A

Santos - Remo

04/02/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Santos
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Remo
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
SANREM

Santos

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.41
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Gabriel Barbosa未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)

Remo

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.83
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.04
Vitor Bueno替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Patrick de Paula未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

30%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win with a 42% probability
  • Remo's away defense: Remo concedes an average of 4.5 goals per away game
  • Remo's goal production: Remo's goal production has recently stalled, averaging 1.0 goals compared to the season average of 1.3
风险因素
  • Santos' shots on target: Santos averaged 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Limited data: No head-to-head data for the two teams is available
概述

Santos (17th place, 7 points) host Remo (20th place, 6 points) in a Serie A relegation battle. The match takes place on April 2, 2026, 11:00 PM. Both teams are fighting against relegation, with Santos just ahead of Remo in the table.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Santos shows a form of WDDLD, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss from the last five matches

The last result was a draw

Remo has a form of DLLLW, consisting of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

The last result was a win

统计数据

Santos scored an average of 1.25 goals per game and conceded 1.63 goals per game this season

Remo has a goal difference of 1.25 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.88 goals

Santos has scored in 7 out of 8 games this season, while Remo failed to score in 4 out of 8 games

At home, Santos scored 1.25 goals and conceded 1.25 goals

Remo scored 1.5 goals away and conceded an average of 4.5 goals

历史交锋

No direct duels between these two teams were found in the provided dataset.

关键球员

Neymar  (Midfielder) scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 3 season appearances, with an average rating of 7.69 and stable form

Álvaro Barreal (Attacker) has scored 1 goal in 8 appearances, his average rating is 6.86 and his form is stable

Thaciano (Midfielder) scored 1 goal in 6 appearances, with an average rating of 6.85 and stable form

Not nominated: Gabriel Barbosa (3G/0A)

For Remo, Alef Manga (Attacker) shines with 2 goals and 3 assists in 8 appearances, with an average rating of 7.16, although his form trend is declining

Gabriel Taliari (Attacker) scored 2 goals in 2 appearances, with an average rating of 7.02 and stable form

Jajá (Attacker) scored 1 goal in 5 appearances, with an average rating of 6.7 and stable form

Not nominated: Vitor Bueno (2G/1A), Patrick de Paula (0G/2A)

门将

Santos goalkeeper Gabriel Brazão has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Marcelo Rangel of Remo has recorded 0 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Santos scored an average of 1.25 goals at home and conceded 1.25 goals per home game

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