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Serie A

Chapecoense - Atlético Mineiro

04/02/2026, 10:00 PM

0 : 4
预期进球
Chapecoense
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Atlético Mineiro
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
CHAAM

Chapecoense

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.46
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.21
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.20
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.15
19%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)

Atlético Mineiro

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.33
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.13
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.12
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

31%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Chapecoense's reduced attacking power, with only 67% of usual starting XI strength available
  • Atlético Mineiro showed significant defensive weaknesses in their only away game, conceding 6 goals
  • Both teams show a negative trend in their recent goal production according to Advanced Stats
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head matches, as no previous encounters were found
  • Chapecoense has only 67% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Both teams recorded low average shots on target in their last 5 games (Chapecoense Avg. 2.8, Atlético Mineiro Avg. 3.4)
概述

Chapecoense (16th place, 7 points) hosts Atlético Mineiro (14th place, 8 points) in a Serie A match on April 2, 2026, 7:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower third of the table and are fighting for crucial points to move away from the relegation zone. A close encounter is expected.

近期状态

Chapecoense's form across all competitions is DLDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This corresponds to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

The last result was a 0-2 loss against Internacional

Atlético Mineiro's form across all competitions is LWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

The last result was a 0-1 loss against Fluminense

统计数据

Chapecoense has scored an average of 1.29 goals per game and conceded 1.57 goals per game this season

At home, the average is 1.33 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

The team has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Both teams scored in 4 matches, and 2 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals per game

Away from home, the team has scored 1.0 goal per game and conceded an average of 6.0 goals per game (based on one away match)

The team has kept 2 clean sheets this season

Both teams scored in 3 matches, and 3 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

According to Advanced Stats, Chapecoense's goal production is currently stagnant (averaging 1.0 goals) compared to their season average (1.5 goals)

Atlético Mineiro's goal production is also stagnant (averaging 0.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.0 goals)

Both teams show a negative form trend in terms of goals scored

关键球员

For Chapecoense, Walter Clar (3 goals, 1 assist), Doma (1 goal), and Carvalheira (1 goal) are key players

Walter Clar showed stable form in the last 5 games with 2 goals and 1 assist and an average rating of 7.09

Doma scored 1 goal in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.62

For Atlético Mineiro, Victor Hugo (2 goals, 1 assist), Hulk (1 goal, 2 assists), and Tomás Cuello (1 goal) are crucial

Victor Hugo scored 1 goal in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.90

Hulk provided 1 assist in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.92

Tomás Cuello scored 1 goal in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.79

门将

Chapecoense is expected to start with Rafael Santos, who has not made any appearances this season

Chapecoense's team has recorded 1 clean sheet this season

Atlético Mineiro is expected to start with Everson, who has made 8 appearances this season, provided 1 assist, and has an average rating of 7.11

Everson showed stable form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.23

Atlético Mineiro's team has recorded 2 clean sheets this season

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