Serie A
Fluminense - Corinthians
04/02/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.1
0.8
1:0
15%1:1
14%0:0
13%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Fluminense
Corinthians
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
31%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Fluminense with a 50% probability
- Fluminense shows a strong home offense with an average of 1.75 goals and has recently scored more frequently (Avg. 1.8 goals)
- Corinthians struggles in offense, with Avg. 0.8 goals recently and an average of only 2.6 shots on target
风险因素
- Corinthians recorded an average of only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Historical head-to-head encounters show Corinthians' dominance
概述
Fluminense (4th place, 16 points) hosts Corinthians (10th place, 10 points) in Serie A. Kick-off is on April 2, 2026, 2:30 AM. Fluminense competes for top spots, while Corinthians aims to climb into the upper half of the table
近期状态
Fluminense's form in the last five games (all competitions): LWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), with 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Corinthians shows the following form in the last five matches: DLDDD (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). Fluminense is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 1.8 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.6 goals). Corinthians' goal production has recently stalled (Avg. 0.8 goals), while their season average is Avg. 1.0 goal
统计数据
Fluminense averages 1.63 goals per game and concedes 1.13 goals. At home, they score Avg. 1.75 goals and concede Avg. 0.75 goals. Corinthians has a season average of 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded. Away, Corinthians scores Avg. 1.0 goal and concedes Avg. 0.67 goals. Fluminense kept 3 clean sheets, as did Corinthians. In 5 Fluminense games and 4 Corinthians games, both teams scored. 4 of Fluminense's games and only 1 of Corinthians' games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1, Corinthians won 2, and there was 1 draw. The goal difference is 2:4 in favor of Corinthians. The last encounter on September 14, 2025, saw Corinthians win away 1-0. Corinthians has been the more dominant team in recent direct encounters
关键球员
For Fluminense, Luciano Acosta (3 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.56 rating) and Hércules (2 goals, Avg. 7.04 rating) are key attacking players. Jefferson Savarino contributed 2 assists (Avg. 7.25 rating). Not nominated is Agustín Canobbio (3 goals, 1 assist). For Corinthians, Rodrigo Garro (1 goal, 3 assists, Avg. 7.26 rating) and Matheus Bidu (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 7.13 rating) are notable. Gabriel Paulista scored 1 goal (Avg. 7.04 rating)
门将
Fluminense's goalkeeper Fábio played in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets. Corinthians' goalkeeper Kauê has not played any matches this season. Corinthians as a team recorded 3 clean sheets
影响因素
Fluminense showed strong offense at home with Avg. 1.75 goals per game and a solid defense conceding Avg. 0.75 goals. Corinthians scored Avg. 1.0 goal per away game and conceded Avg. 0.67 goals, indicating a stable away defense