Serie A
Bragantino - Flamengo
04/03/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
7%xG 分解
Bragantino
Flamengo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
32%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Form difference: Flamengo is unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw), while Bragantino recorded 3 losses and 2 draws
- Offensive strength: Flamengo scores an average of 1.86 goals per game, compared to Bragantino's 0.75 goals
- Historical record: Flamengo dominated head-to-head matches with 3 wins and no wins for Bragantino
风险因素
- Mathematical analysis predicts extremely tight probabilities (home win 33%, draw 33%, away win 34%), indicating an unpredictable match
- Bragantino conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches
- Flamengo is missing key players such as Giorgian de Arrascaeta (1 goal, 1 assist), L. Pereira (1 goal), and G. Varela Olivera (2 assists) due to injuries or suspensions
概述
Bragantino (15th place, 8 points) host Flamengo (6th place, 14 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on April 3, 2026, 2:30 AM. Bragantino is stuck in the lower half of the table, while Flamengo is having a strong season and is fighting for the top spots.
近期状态
Bragantino's current form (DDLLL) shows a tendency towards losses in the last five games. They recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. The last result was a loss.
Flamengo, on the other hand, is in excellent shape (WWWWD) with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in their last five matches. The last game ended in a draw.
Bragantino: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Flamengo: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Bragantino has scored an average of 0.75 goals per game and conceded 1.25 goals in 8 matches. At home, the average is 0.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game. Bragantino scored in 4 games, kept 2 clean sheets, and failed to score in 2 games. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 games.
Flamengo shows a significantly stronger offense with an average of 1.86 goals per game and a solid defense with only 0.71 goals conceded. Away from home, Flamengo scores an average of 1.75 goals and concedes 1 goal per game. Flamengo scored in 4 games, kept 3 clean sheets, and failed to score in 0 games. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 games.
历史交锋
In the 4 recent head-to-head matches, Bragantino has not secured a single win. Flamengo won 3 games, and one match ended in a draw. The goal difference is 3:8 in favor of Flamengo. The last encounter on November 23, 2025, ended with a 3:0 victory for Flamengo. Flamengo is the recently dominant winner in these direct confrontations.
关键球员
For Bragantino, the following players are crucial: Juninho Capixaba (2 goals, 1 assist), Lucas Barbosa (1 goal), and José Herrera (1 goal). Juninho Capixaba showed stable form in the last 5 games with 1 goal and 1 assist.
For Flamengo, Pedro (2 goals, 2 assists), Samuel Lino (2 goals, 1 assist), and Léo Ortiz (1 goal, 1 assist) stand out. Léo Ortiz is in rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games.
门将
For Bragantino, Tiago Volpi is in goal, who was involved in one home clean sheet this season. For Flamengo, Agustín Rossi will guard the goal and managed one away clean sheet.
影响因素
Bragantino scored an average of 0.8 goals and conceded 1 goal per home game, indicating a slight defensive home advantage.