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Serie A

Grêmio - Remo

04/05/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Grêmio
1.7
Total xG
2.6
Remo
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

1:2

5%
xG 分解
GRÊREM

Grêmio

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.12
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第20位, 相差9位)
+0.07
Erick Noriega替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅97%可用)

Remo

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第11位, 相差9位)
-0.09
Vitor Bueno未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

27%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

73%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 53% probability
  • Grêmio scores an average of 1.67 goals at home this season, while Remo concedes an average of 3.67 goals away
  • Grêmio's goal production has recently stalled with an average of 1.2 goals, compared to their season average of 1.6 goals
  • Remo's goal production has also recently stalled with an average of 0.8 goals, compared to their season average of 1.1 goals
风险因素
  • Grêmio had only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Remo had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Remo concedes an average of 3.67 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
概述

Grêmio (11th place, 11 points) hosts Remo (20th place, 6 points) in a Serie A match

The game takes place on April 5, 2026, 8:30 PM

Grêmio aims to improve its league position, while Remo is at the bottom of the table fighting to catch up

近期状态

Grêmio's form across all competitions is "DDWLL"

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

In their last five games, Grêmio recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Their last two results were losses

Remo's form across all competitions is "LLLWL"

In their last five games, Remo achieved 1 win and 4 losses

Their last result was a loss

统计数据

Grêmio scores an average of 1.56 goals and concedes 1.56 goals per game this season

In home games, Grêmio is offensive with an average of 1.67 goals and defensively solid with 0.83 goals conceded per home game

Remo scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.89 goals per game this season

In away games, Remo is weaker with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 3.67 goals conceded per away game

Grêmio had 7 matches where both teams scored and 5 matches with over 2.5 goals

Remo had 4 matches where both teams scored and 4 matches with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Grêmio and Remo

关键球员

For Grêmio, Carlos Vinícius is an important offensive player with 6 season goals and 0 assists (average rating 7.07) and stable form

Francis Amuzu contributed 1 goal and 2 assists (average rating 6.97) and shows stable form

Juan Nardoni scored 1 goal and 1 assist (average rating 6.67) and also has stable form

For Remo, Alef Manga is a key player with 2 season goals and 3 assists (average rating 7.16), although his form is declining

Gabriel Taliari has scored 2 goals in 2 season appearances (average rating 7.02) and has stable form

Yago Pikachu contributed 1 season goal (average rating 6.63) and his form is stable

门将

Grêmio's goalkeeper, Weverton, recorded 1 clean sheet this season

Marcelo Rangel, Remo's goalkeeper, has not kept a clean sheet this season

影响因素

Grêmio has a home advantage with an average of 1.67 home goals scored and only 0.83 goals conceded per home game

Remo concedes an average of 3.67 goals per away game and scores only 1.0 away goals

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