Serie A
Coritiba - Fluminense
04/04/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.5
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Coritiba
Fluminense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
30%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Critical absences: Fluminense plays with only 40% of their usual starting XI's goal threat, with five key players not selected
- Offensive strength: Fluminense averaged 7.2 shots on target in their last 5 games and appears offensively strong
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis slightly favors Fluminense with a win probability of 38%
风险因素
- Short recovery time: Coritiba had only 3 days rest since their last match
- Short recovery time: Fluminense had only 2 days rest since their last match
- Low shot efficiency: Coritiba averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Coritiba (7th place, 14 points) host Fluminense (2nd place, 19 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on April 5, 2026, 12:30 AM. Fluminense aims to close the gap to the top of the table, while Coritiba seeks to consolidate its position in the upper half of the standings
近期状态
Coritiba's form in the last 5 games is WWWLD, which corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The last match ended in a draw against Vasco da Gama. The form trend is stable according to analysis. Fluminense is in good shape with WWLWW in their last 5 matches, securing 4 wins and 1 loss. Fluminense recently defeated Corinthians 3-1. Their current form is rated as positive. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Coritiba scores an average of 1.11 goals per game this season and concedes an average of 1.0 goals. At home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. They kept 3 clean sheets overall. Fluminense is stronger offensively with an average of 1.78 goals per game and concedes 1.11 goals. Away from home, Fluminense averages 2.0 goals scored and also concedes 2.0 goals. Fluminense scored in 6 matches, Coritiba in 3 matches. The pipeline calculation suggests both teams to score with a probability of 53%
历史交锋
No head-to-head data is available for this fixture
关键球员
For Coritiba, key players include Lucas Ronier (1 goal, 2 assists, 7.19 average rating), Jacy (1 goal, 0 assists, 6.86 average rating), and Josué (0 goals, 2 assists, 6.78 average rating). For Fluminense, Hércules (3 goals, 0 assists, 7.11 average rating), Martinelli (0 goals, 1 assist, 7.07 average rating), and Rodrigo Castillo (2 goals, 0 assists, 6.94 average rating) are notable
门将
Coritiba's goalkeeper Pedro Rangel has an average rating of 6.91 in 6 season appearances and kept one clean sheet at home. Fluminense's goalkeeper Fábio played in all 9 season appearances, with an average rating of 6.89, and recorded one away clean sheet
影响因素
Coritiba scored an average of 1.0 goals at home and conceded 1.5 goals. Fluminense scored an average of 2.0 goals away and also conceded 2.0 goals