Serie A
Flamengo - Santos
04/05/2026, 08:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
11%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Flamengo
Santos
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
30%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Santos' offense is severely weakened by the absence of Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa, with only 30% of their usual goal production available
- Santos averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 50% probability and expects 1.47 goals for Flamengo compared to 0.86 goals for Santos
风险因素
- Flamengo has a short recovery period with only 2 days of rest since their last match
- Santos concedes an average of 2 goals per away game
概述
Flamengo (7th place, 14 points) host Santos (13th place, 10 points) in Serie A. The match is scheduled for April 5, 2026, 9:30 PM. Flamengo aims to advance into the upper echelons of the table, while Santos seeks to distance themselves from the relegation zone
近期状态
Flamengo shows a form of WWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from all competitions, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their most recent streak ended with a loss. Santos has a form of DDLDW with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their most recent streak ended with a win
统计数据
Flamengo averages 1.63 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game. They recorded 3 clean sheets in 8 games. At home, the average is 1.5 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded, with 2 clean sheets in 4 home games. Both teams scored in 4 out of 8 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 matches. Santos averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded per game. They recorded 2 clean sheets in 9 games. Away, the average is 1.25 goals scored and 2 goals conceded, with 1 clean sheet in 4 away games. Both teams scored in 7 out of 9 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 matches
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, the record between Flamengo and Santos is even. Both teams have recorded 1 win each. The goal difference stands at 3:3. Flamengo won the last encounter 3:2 on November 9, 2025
关键球员
For Flamengo, Pedro is a key attacker with 2 goals and 2 assists and a season average rating of 7.01. Samuel Lino contributes with 2 goals and 1 assist and an average rating of 6.88. Léo Ortiz, as a defender, shows a season average rating of 7.18 with 1 goal and 1 assist. For Santos, Thaciano is significant with 1 goal and an average rating of 6.85. Álvaro Barreal has 1 goal and a season average rating of 6.86. Gonzalo Escobar as a defender provided 1 assist with a season average rating of 6.73, showing a rising form trend
门将
Flamengo's goalkeeper Agustín Rossi has recorded 3 clean sheets in 8 games and shows stable form. Santos' goalkeeper Gabriel Brazão has recorded 2 clean sheets in 9 games and shows a rising form trend
影响因素
Flamengo shows a strong defensive performance at home, conceding only 0.25 goals per game on average. Offensively, they score an average of 1.5 goals in their home stadium. Santos, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2 goals per away game