Serie A
São Paulo - Cruzeiro
04/04/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.4
0.8
1:1
13%1:0
13%2:0
11%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
São Paulo
Cruzeiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
29%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 53% probability
- São Paulo's strong home defense (averaging 0.4 goals conceded) sharply contrasts with Cruzeiro's extremely vulnerable away defense (averaging 5.0 goals conceded)
- São Paulo is placed 3rd in the league with 17 points, while Cruzeiro is struggling at 17th place with 7 points
风险因素
- Both teams have had only 3 days since their last match, indicating potential fatigue
- São Paulo's average shots on target in the last 5 games is 3.2, which is relatively low despite high possession
- São Paulo's recent goal production has slowed (averaging 1.0 goals recently compared to 1.2 season average)
概述
São Paulo (3rd place, 17 points) host Cruzeiro (17th place, 7 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on April 4, 2026, 6:30 PM
São Paulo aims to solidify its position in the top half of the table, while Cruzeiro needs crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
São Paulo's form across all competitions is WWLLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), with their last game ending in a draw
Cruzeiro's form is LDLDW (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), with a win in their last game
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
São Paulo's goal production has recently stalled (averaging 1.0 goals), while Cruzeiro is currently scoring more frequently (averaging 1.8 goals)
统计数据
São Paulo has scored an average of 1.22 goals and conceded 0.67 goals this season
At home, they average 1.2 goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded
Cruzeiro has scored an average of 1.22 goals and conceded 1.78 goals
Away from home, their defense is very vulnerable, conceding an average of 5.0 goals while scoring 1.5
São Paulo kept 3 clean sheets, Cruzeiro 2
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, São Paulo recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and Cruzeiro achieved 1 win
São Paulo scored 4 goals and conceded 2
The last match was won by Cruzeiro away on August 31, 2025, with a score of 1:0
关键球员
For São Paulo, Jonathan Calleri (5 season goals, 3 goals in last 5 games), Luciano (2 season goals, 1 assist, 1 goal in last 5 games), and Sabino (1 season goal, 1 goal in last 5 games) are key players
For Cruzeiro, Kaio Jorge (2 season goals, 3 goals in last 5 games), Matheus Pereira (2 season goals, 1 assist, 1 goal and 1 assist in last 5 games), and Christian (2 season goals, 1 assist, 2 goals and 1 assist in last 5 games) are important figures
门将
São Paulo's goalkeeper Rafael played 9 season games
The São Paulo team kept 3 clean sheets
For Cruzeiro, Matheus Cunha played in 5 season games
Cruzeiro managed to keep a clean sheet in 2 games
影响因素
São Paulo shows a solid home performance with 6 goals scored and only 2 goals conceded in 5 home games
Cruzeiro, on the other hand, conceded 10 goals and scored 3 in 2 away games