Serie A
Chapecoense - Vitória
04/05/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Chapecoense
Vitória
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
28%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Chapecoense with a 53% probability
- Away defense: Vitória concedes an extremely high average of 5.5 goals per away game
- Team form: Both teams show a negative form trend and stagnant goal production according to advanced stats
风险因素
- Limited data availability: No data is available for head-to-head matches or venue history
- Home team fatigue: Chapecoense had a short rest with only 3 days since their last match
- Key player absence: Vitória is without Baralhas , leaving only 64% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
概述
Chapecoense (17th place, 7 points) host Vitória (15th place, 10 points) in Serie A on April 5, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower third of the table, with Chapecoense on the verge of the relegation zone. A win is crucial for both to avoid losing ground to the mid-table teams.
近期状态
Chapecoense's form across all competitions is LDDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). They have suffered two consecutive losses recently. Vitória's form is DWLWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their last match resulted in a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Chapecoense averages 1.13 goals scored per game and concedes 1.88 goals. At home, they score 1.14 goals and concede 1.43 goals per game. The team recorded 1 clean sheet. Vitória averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.63 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they score 1.0 goal and concede a very high 5.5 goals per game. Vitória has kept 3 clean sheets.
历史交锋
No data is available for head-to-head matches between Chapecoense and Vitória.
关键球员
For Chapecoense, Jean Carlos shows an average rating of 7.13 with 2 goals and 2 assists in 7 appearances. Doma scored 1 goal in 7 games. Everton contributed 1 assist. For Vitória, Erick (1 goal, 2 assists in 8 games, rating 6.86), Renato Kayzer (2 goals in 6 games), and Ramon (1 goal in 8 games) are the standout performers.
门将
Chapecoense's goalkeeper is Rafael Santos. For Vitória, Lucas Arcanjo is in goal, having played 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets this season. Chapecoense has achieved 1 clean sheet, Vitória 3 clean sheets.
影响因素
Chapecoense has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals in 7 home games. Vitória has scored 2 goals and conceded 11 goals in 2 away games. Chapecoense's home advantage could be amplified by the opponent's poor away record. No weather data is available for the match.