Serie A
Atlético Mineiro - Athletico PR
04/05/2026, 08:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
11%2:1
8%0:1
8%xG 分解
Atlético Mineiro
Athletico PR
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
31%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis indicates a 41% probability for a home win
- Athletico PR concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game, making their defense vulnerable
- Atlético Mineiro shows a strong home offense with 1.4 goals per game and positive form in their last five matches
风险因素
- Atlético Mineiro has only 58% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available
- Atlético Mineiro had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Athletico PR is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.6)
概述
Atlético Mineiro (10th place, 11 points) host Athletico PR (5th place, 16 points) in a Serie A match. The game will be played on April 5, 2026, 5:30 PM. Atlético Mineiro aims to close the gap to the top half of the table, while Athletico PR seeks to solidify its position in the top group
近期状态
Atlético Mineiro's form in their last five matches is WLWLW (3 wins, 2 losses)
Their last game ended in a win
Athletico PR's form over their last five matches is LWWWL (3 wins, 2 losses), with their most recent match being a loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.33 goals per game and concedes 1.22 goals
At home, they score 1.4 goals and concede 1 goal per home game
They kept 3 clean sheets this season
Athletico PR scores an average of 1.56 goals per game and concedes 1.22 goals
Away from home, they score an average of 1.33 goals and concede 2.33 goals per away game
They kept 2 clean sheets this season
Both teams scored in 3 of Atlético Mineiro's home matches and 5 of Athletico PR's away matches
历史交锋
In 2 direct encounters, Atlético Mineiro won 1 match and Athletico PR won 1 match
The goal difference is even with 1:1 goals
The last encounter was a 1-0 home win for Atlético Mineiro on December 8, 2024
The head-to-head record is even
关键球员
For Atlético Mineiro: Tomás Cuello (2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, form rising), Hulk (1 goal, 2 assists this season, stable), Victor Hugo (2 goals, 1 assist this season, stable)
For Athletico PR: Kevin Viveros (5 goals, 1 assist this season, stable, 3 goals in last 5 games), Stiven Mendoza (3 goals this season, stable, 2 goals in last 5 games), Lucas Esquivel (1 goal, 3 assists this season, form declining)
Not nominated for Athletico PR: Julimar (2 goals, 1 assist this season)
门将
Atlético Mineiro's goalkeeper Everson has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Athletico PR's goalkeeper Santos has recorded 2 clean sheets
影响因素
Atlético Mineiro averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per home game
Athletico PR concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game