Serie A
Vasco da Gama - Botafogo
04/05/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.8
2.5
0.7
1:0
14%2:0
13%1:1
12%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
62%
平局
25%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
38%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Vasco da Gama with a 62% probability
- Botafogo's away defense is highly vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.25 goals per away game
- Vasco da Gama currently shows a strong offense, scoring more frequently (2.2) than their season average (1.6)
风险因素
- The historical record shows Botafogo's dominance in head-to-head matches, with 3 wins and 1 draw against 0 losses
- Botafogo's goal production is currently stagnant (1.4), compared to their season average of 1.8 goals
概述
Vasco da Gama (8th place, 12 points) host Botafogo (16th place, 9 points) in a Serie A match on April 4, 2026, 9:00 PM. Vasco aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table, while Botafogo seeks to escape the relegation zone.
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Vasco da Gama is in good form with WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last five matches
Their last outing was a 1-1 away draw against Coritiba
In their last five games, Vasco scored an average of 2.2 goals, exceeding their season average of 1.6 goals
Botafogo's form in their last five matches is LLWLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)
Their most recent result was a 3-2 home win against Mirassol
Botafogo's goal production is currently stagnant, averaging 1.4 goals compared to their season average of 1.8 goals
统计数据
Vasco da Gama scores an average of 1.56 goals per game and concedes 1.56 goals
At home, they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded
Both teams scored (BTTS) in 8 out of 9 Vasco matches
Botafogo has a season average of 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 goals conceded
Away from home, Botafogo conceded an average of 3.25 goals while scoring 1.75 goals
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 out of 8 Botafogo matches
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Vasco da Gama has not secured any wins
Botafogo has won 3 matches, with one ending in a draw
The goal difference is a clear 9:1 in favor of Botafogo
The last encounter saw Botafogo win 3-0 on November 5, 2025
关键球员
For Vasco da Gama, Cuiabano (2 goals, 3 assists in last 5 games, Avg. 7.74 Rating), Cauan Barros (3 goals, 0 assists in last 5 games, Avg. 7.10 Rating) and Thiago Mendes (3 goals, 0 assists in last 5 games, Avg. 7.41 Rating) are crucial
For Botafogo, Danilo (2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, Avg. 7.08 Rating), Alex Telles (2 goals, 0 assists in last 5 games, Avg. 6.58 Rating) and Arthur Cabral (1 goal, 0 assists in last 5 games, Avg. 6.77 Rating) are key players
门将
Vasco da Gama's goalkeeper, Léo Jardim, has not kept any clean sheets in 9 season appearances
Botafogo's goalkeeper Raul has recorded one clean sheet in 5 appearances
影响因素
Vasco da Gama has shown solid offense at home with an average of 1.6 goals scored and a stable defense with 1.2 goals conceded
Botafogo has scored an average of 1.75 goals away, but demonstrated high vulnerability by conceding 3.25 goals per game