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Serie A

Remo - Vasco da Gama

04/11/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Remo
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Vasco da Gama
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

0:1

9%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
REMVDG

Remo

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.49
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.29
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
-0.08
Vitor Bueno未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

Vasco da Gama

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.54
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.06
排名优势 (第12位 vs 第18位, 相差6位)
+0.04
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

31%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

69%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Vasco da Gama's offense currently scores more often, averaging 2.0 goals in recent games, compared to Remo's season average of 1.0 goal
  • Remo is in 18th place in the table and has only achieved one win in their last five matches, indicating poor overall form
  • Vasco da Gama's matches are often high-scoring, with both teams scoring in 90% of their season games and over 2.5 goals in 70% of matches
风险因素
  • Vasco da Gama concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
  • The close mathematical probabilities (home win 33%, away win 36%) suggest an unpredictable match
概述

Remo (18th place, 7 points) host Vasco da Gama (12th place, 12 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 9:30 PM. Remo is struggling in the lower third of the table, while Vasco da Gama aims to establish itself in mid-table. Remo urgently needs points to escape the relegation zone

近期状态

Remo shows a form of LLWLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) in their last five matches. Their last game ended in a draw. Vasco da Gama has a form of DWWDL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last five matches. Their last game resulted in a loss

统计数据

Remo scores an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and concedes 1.7 goals. At home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded per game. Vasco da Gama scores an average of 1.5 goals per match and concedes 1.6 goals. In away games, Vasco da Gama averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded. For Vasco da Gama, both teams scored in 9 out of 10 matches, and 7 out of 10 games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head matches between Remo and Vasco da Gama were found in the dataset

关键球员

For Remo, Gabriel Taliari is a key attacker with 2 seasonal goals and an average rating of 7.01 in the last 5 games. Alef Manga contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season. Jajá scored 1 seasonal goal and showed an average rating of 6.74 in his last 5 games. On Vasco da Gama's side, Thiago Mendes stands out, having scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.37. Cuiabano contributed to 2 goals and 3 assists this season and has a stable form in the last 5 games with 1 goal and 3 assists. Cauan Barros scored 3 times this season, with 2 goals in the last 5 matches

门将

Remo's goalkeeper Marcelo Rangel had 10 appearances this season and 1 clean sheet. Vasco da Gama's goalkeeper Léo Jardim also played 10 games but kept no clean sheets

影响因素

Remo shows a more solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.86 goals compared to their overall average of 1.7. Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.0 goals away from home, which is weaker than their overall average of 1.6 goals conceded. This suggests a potential defensive vulnerability for the visiting team

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