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Serie A

Cruzeiro - Bragantino

04/12/2026, 09:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Cruzeiro
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Bragantino
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
CRUBRA

Cruzeiro

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.84
防守实力 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.65
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.45
状态上升 (2 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.20
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第9位, 相差10位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.08
全员可用

Bragantino

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.63倍)
+0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第19位, 相差10位)
+0.06
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.03
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.03
Henry Mosquera未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

32%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Bragantino is favored by the mathematical analysis with a 38% win probability compared to 30% for Cruzeiro
  • Both teams show positive attacking form trends: Cruzeiro is currently scoring more often (2.0) than their season average (1.3)
  • Bragantino is currently scoring more often (1.2) than their season average (1.0)
  • Cruzeiro is possession-dominant at home with an average of 59% possession and 4.8 shots on target
概述

Cruzeiro (19th place, 7 points) hosts Bragantino (9th place, 14 points) in a Serie A match on April 12, 2026, 6:30 PM

Cruzeiro is in the relegation zone and desperately needs points

Bragantino is looking to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table

近期状态

Cruzeiro's form across all competitions is DLDWL

Cruzeiro's last five matches resulted in a loss, a win, a draw, a loss, and a draw

Bragantino's form across all competitions is LLLWW

Bragantino's last five matches resulted in a win, a win, a loss, a loss, and a loss

Bragantino is currently on a two-game winning streak

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cruzeiro averages 1.2 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 2 goals per game

The team kept 2 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 7 matches

Bragantino averages 1.0 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.0 goals per game

Bragantino kept 4 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 3 matches

At home, Cruzeiro averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes 0.86 goals per match

Away from home, Bragantino averages 1.0 goals scored and concedes 1.67 goals per match

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro has 2 wins, Bragantino has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw

Cruzeiro scored 5 goals, while Bragantino scored 4 goals

The last encounter on September 21, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro has been the more dominant team in recent direct matchups

关键球员

For Cruzeiro, midfielder Christian is a key player with 3 season goals and 1 assist, showing a rising form trend

Matheus Pereira, also a midfielder, has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist, but his form is declining

Attacker Néiser Villarreal contributes with 2 season goals and shows stable form

For Bragantino, defender Juninho Capixaba is a notable player with 2 goals and 2 assists

Forward Lucas Barbosa has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist, displaying stable form

Attacker Isidro Pitta is also an important offensive player with 2 goals

门将

Cruzeiro's goalkeeper Matheus Cunha has made 6 season appearances

Cruzeiro has recorded 2 clean sheets this season

Bragantino's goalkeeper Tiago Volpi has featured in 3 season games

Bragantino has recorded 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Cruzeiro scored 8 goals and conceded 6 goals in 7 home games

Bragantino scored 3 goals and conceded 5 goals in 3 away games

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