Serie A
Mirassol - Bahia
04/11/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Mirassol
Bahia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
29%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- League Position: Bahia is in 5th place, while Mirassol is at the bottom of the table
- Recent Form: Bahia shows better form with 'WWLWL' compared to Mirassol's 'LLLLL' streak
- Mathematical Prediction: The analysis slightly favors Bahia with a 39% win probability
风险因素
- Historical Home Strength: Mirassol won the last direct encounter at home with a 5-1 score
- Squad Impact: Mirassol is missing Shaylon (1G/1A) and Alesson (0G/2A), representing 87% of usual starting XI goal threat
概述
Mirassol (20th place, 6 points) hosts Bahia (5th place, 17 points) in a Serie A match on April 11, 2026, 10:30 PM
Mirassol is struggling at the bottom of the table and urgently needs points
Bahia aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table
近期状态
Mirassol shows very poor form across all competitions with 'LLLLL'
The team lost its last 5 consecutive matches
The most recent result was a 0-1 defeat against Bragantino
Bahia has mixed form with 'WWLWL'
The team recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in its last 5 games
The last outing ended in a 1-2 loss against Palmeiras
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Mirassol scores an average of 1.11 goals per game and concedes 1.56 goals per game
The team kept no clean sheets and 5 matches saw over 2.5 goals
Bahia scores an average of 1.44 goals per game and concedes 1.00 goals per game
Bahia kept 4 clean sheets and 4 matches saw over 2.5 goals
Mirassol scored an average of 1.2 goals at home and conceded 1.4 goals
Bahia scored an average of 1.67 goals away and conceded 1.67 goals
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, Mirassol has 1 win and there was 1 draw
Mirassol scored 6 goals, Bahia 2 goals
Mirassol won the last encounter at home with a 5-1 score on August 31, 2025
Mirassol has been dominant in recent direct encounters
关键球员
For Mirassol, Igor Formiga (3 goals, 0 assists, avg 7.06 rating) and Negueba (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 7.33 rating) are important players
Eduardo scored 1 goal with no assists and an avg rating of 6.75
For Bahia, Luciano Juba (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.20 rating) and Jean Lucas (2 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.89 rating) are key
Everaldo has 3 goals and 0 assists with an avg rating of 7.18
门将
Mirassol's goalkeeper, Walter, has 0 clean sheets this season
Léo Vieira, Bahia's goalkeeper, recorded 2 clean sheets in his away games
影响因素
Mirassol scores an average of 1.2 goals at home and concedes 1.4 goals
Bahia scores an average of 1.67 goals away and concedes 1.67 goals