Serie A
Palmeiras - Athletico PR
04/19/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.2
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
13%2:0
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Palmeiras
Athletico PR
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
32%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Palmeiras' impressive home strength: an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded
- Palmeiras' current form with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 games
- Athletico PR's defensive weakness away from home with an average of 3.0 goals conceded per match
风险因素
- Limited starting lineup strength for Palmeiras: Only 88% of the usual goal threat is available, as Marlon Freitas (2G/1A) and Mauricio (1G/1A) are not in the lineup
- Reduced starting lineup strength for Athletico PR: Only 80% of the usual goal threat is available, as Julimar (3G/1A) and Gastón Benavídez (0G/3A) are not in the lineup
- The pipeline prognosis analysis only predicts Palmeiras with a 47% chance of a home win and 32% for a draw
概述
Palmeiras (1st place, 26 points) host Athletico PR (6th place, 19 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 11:30 PM
Palmeiras aims to consolidate their league lead, while Athletico PR seeks to stay connected to the top group
近期状态
Palmeiras shows excellent form with "WWWWD" from their last five games across all competitions
This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 draw
Athletico PR, however, displays an inconsistent form of "WWLLW", with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Palmeiras scores an average of 1.91 goals per game this season and concedes 0.91 goals
Their goal production has recently slowed slightly (1.8 goals per game compared to 2.1 season goals)
At home, the average is 2.0 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per game
Athletico PR scores an average of 1.55 times and concedes 1.18 goals per game
Athletico PR is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.6 goals per game)
Away, they average 1.67 goals scored and an alarming 3.0 goals conceded per match
Palmeiras had 3 clean sheets, Athletico PR also had 3
For Palmeiras, over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 games, for Athletico PR in 6 matches
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, the record between Palmeiras and Athletico PR is even
Both teams have won one match each
The goal difference is 2:2
The last encounter was won by Athletico PR at home with 2:0 on September 1, 2024
关键球员
For Palmeiras, Andreas Pereira (1 goal, 8 assists in season, 3 assists in last 5 games), José Manuel López (3 goals, 3 assists in season) and Jhon Arias (3 goals in season, 2 goals in last 5 games) are in the starting lineup
For Athletico PR, Kevin Viveros (6 goals, 1 assist in season, 3 goals in last 5 games), Lucas Esquivel (1 goal, 3 assists in season) and Stiven Mendoza (4 goals in season, 1 goal in last 5 games) are in the squad
Dudu shows a rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
门将
Carlos Miguel is the goalkeeper for Palmeiras and achieved 3 clean sheets this season
For Athletico PR, Santos is in goal, who also recorded 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Palmeiras benefits from a strong home record with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded per home game
Athletico PR, however, appears more vulnerable away, conceding an average of 3.0 goals