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Serie A

Bragantino - Remo

04/19/2026, 09:30 PM

4 : 2
预期进球
Bragantino
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Remo
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BRAREM

Bragantino

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.46
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
排名优势 (第12位 vs 第19位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Henry Mosquera未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1球)

Remo

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.10
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第12位, 相差7位)
-0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.03
Alef Manga替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
42%进球产出缺失 (仅37%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

30%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

70%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Remo lacks crucial attacking threat: Only 37% of the usual starting XI's strength is available without Alef Manga (2G/3A)
  • Remo exhibits an extremely weak away defense, conceding an average of 3.67 goals per away game
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 48% for Bragantino, who currently show a positive form trend
风险因素
  • Bragantino's inconsistent form in the last 5 games with 2 wins and 3 losses
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a relatively high draw probability of 30%
  • The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model
概述

Bragantino (12th place, 14 points) host Remo (19th place, 8 points) in Serie A

The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 8:30 PM

Bragantino aims to improve its mid-table position

Remo is in a relegation battle and desperately needs points

近期状态

Bragantino shows inconsistent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 games (Form: LLWWL)

The last result was a loss

Remo has drawn 2, won 1, and lost 2 of their last 5 games (Form: LWLDD)

The team managed two draws in their recent away matches

统计数据

Bragantino averaged 1.0 goal scored per game and conceded 1.09 goals per game this season

The team recorded 4 clean sheets

At home, Bragantino averages 1.0 goal scored and concedes 0.71 goals per home game

Remo also averages 1.0 goal scored per game but conceded 1.64 goals per game

Remo kept only 1 clean sheet

In away matches, Remo concedes an alarming 3.67 goals per game on average

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches between Bragantino and Remo were found in the available data

关键球员

For Bragantino, key players include Juninho Capixaba (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.26 rating), Lucas Barbosa (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.1 rating), and Isidro Pitta (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.6 rating)

For Remo, Gabriel Taliari (2 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.91 rating), Jajá (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 6.64 rating), and Marllon (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 6.7 rating) are noteworthy

Juninho Capixaba's form trend is declining, while José Andrés Hurtado and Vinicinho show a rising form trend

Gabriel Taliari shows stable form with 2 goals in the last 5 games for Remo

门将

Bragantino relies on Tiago Volpi, who has an average rating of 7.38 in 4 season appearances and contributed to 4 clean sheets for Bragantino

Remo's goalkeeper Marcelo Rangel has an average rating of 6.92 in 11 appearances and contributed to 1 clean sheet

影响因素

Bragantino averages 1.0 goal scored and 0.71 goals conceded at home

Remo, on the other hand, concedes an average of 3.67 goals per away game

Home advantage could play an important role for Bragantino

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