Serie A
Flamengo - Bahia
04/19/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Flamengo
Bahia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
28%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Flamengo is favored with a home win probability of approximately 50% according to the mathematical analysis, compared to Bahia's 23%
- Flamengo's extremely strong home defense (Avg. 0.4 goals conceded) faces an offensively solid away team
- Flamengo is in better form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) than Bahia (3 wins, 2 losses)
风险因素
- Flamengo has several absentees, including J. Carrascal Guardo (Red Card Suspension), E. Pulgar Farfán (Suspended), and J. Frello Filho (Calf Injury)
概述
Flamengo (2nd place, 20 points) host Bahia (5th place, 20 points) in a Serie A match
The game is scheduled for April 19, 2026, 00:30 UTC
Both teams are tied on points at the top of the table, vying for a strong position
近期状态
Flamengo's form in their last five matches is WDLWW
The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their last fixture resulted in a win
Bahia's form in their last five matches is WLWLW
They registered 3 wins and 2 losses
Their most recent fixture also ended in a win
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Flamengo averages 1.8 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.0 goals
In home games, Flamengo is offensively strong with an average of 1.8 goals scored and defensively stable with 0.4 goals conceded
Bahia averages 1.5 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.0 goals
In away games, Bahia scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.2 goals
Flamengo has seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches, Bahia in 5 of 10 matches
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Flamengo secured 3 wins and Bahia 1 win
Flamengo scored a total of 5 goals, while Bahia scored 2 goals
The home team recently dominated the head-to-head encounters
The last match on October 05, 2025, was won by Bahia away with a score of 1:0
关键球员
Flamengo features Pedro in attack, contributing 5 goals and 2 assists in 10 season appearances
Samuel Lino has shown his quality with 2 goals and 3 assists in 10 games
Lucas Paquetá scored 2 goals in 9 matches
For Bahia, Luciano Juba is the top scorer with 4 goals and 1 assist in 10 season appearances
Jean Lucas has 2 goals and 2 assists in 10 games
Willian José scored 2 goals in 9 matches
门将
Agustín Rossi, Flamengo's goalkeeper, has made 10 season appearances
Flamengo has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Léo Vieira, Bahia's goalkeeper, has made 3 season appearances
Bahia has kept 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Flamengo performs strongly at home, averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded